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Alberta

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Calgary

26 provincial districts
Latest update: March 14, 2026

Calgary 44% 53% 49% ± 5% UCP 38% 47% 42% ± 5% NDP 2% 8% 5% ± 3% PTPA 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Calgary, 26 federal districts 19 [15-21] UCP 7 [5-11] NDP 338Canada seat projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Alberta Projection | Calgary

Alberta Seat Projection | Calgary



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List of districts | Calgary
Latest update: March 14, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Diana Batten
N Leaning UCP gain
Amanda Chapman
N Toss up UCP/NDP
Demetrios Nicolaides
C Likely UCP
Joe Ceci
N Safe NDP
Mickey Amery
C Likely UCP
Janet Eremenko
N Leaning NDP
Peter Singh
C Likely UCP
Julia Hayter
N Leaning UCP gain
Samir Kayande
N Toss up UCP/NDP
Parmeet Singh Boparai
N Leaning NDP
Myles Mcdougall
C Likely UCP
Court Ellingson
N Leaning UCP gain
Nagwan Al-Guneid
N Leaning UCP gain
Richard William (Ric) Mciver
C Safe UCP
Lizette Tejada
N Leaning UCP gain
Eric Bouchard
C Safe UCP
N Leaning NDP
Kathleen Ganley
N Safe NDP
Muhammad Yaseen
C Leaning UCP
Gurinder Brar
N Toss up UCP/NDP
Rajan Sawhney
C Likely UCP
Tanya Fir
C Safe UCP
Rebecca Schulz
C Safe UCP
Matt Jones
C Safe UCP
Luanne Metz
N Likely NDP
Mike Ellis
C Safe UCP