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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Cross


2019 2023 Projection UCP 51% ± 8% 54.3% 50.0% NDP 39% ± 7% 37.3% 46.5% GPA 4% ± 4% 0.0% 2.1% PTPA 3% ± 3% 5.9% 0.0%

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338Canada Calgary-Cross projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Calgary-Cross 43% 58% 51% ± 8% UCP 32% 47% 39% ± 7% NDP 0% 8% 4% ± 4% GPA UCP 2023 50.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Cross 95%▲ UCP 5%▼ NDP <1% GPA Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Calgary-Cross

Odds of winning | Calgary-Cross