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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Bow


2019 2023 Projection UCP 50% ± 7% 55.6% 49.3% NDP 38% ± 6% 34.3% 47.8% PTPA 8% ± 5% 7.2% 2.6%

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338Canada Calgary-Bow projection

Latest update: April 12, 2026

Calgary-Bow 43% 57% 50% ± 7% UCP 32% 45% 38% ± 6% NDP 3% 13% 8% ± 5% PTPA UCP 2023 49.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 12, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Bow 97%▲ UCP 3%▼ NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | April 12, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Calgary-Bow

Odds of winning | Calgary-Bow