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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Acadia


2019 2023 Projection UCP 52% ± 7% 54.3% 48.5% NDP 40% ± 7% 34.7% 48.6% PTPA 3% ± 3% 7.4% 0.0%

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338Canada Calgary-Acadia projection

Latest update: April 12, 2026

Calgary-Acadia 45% 59% 52% ± 7% UCP 33% 46% 40% ± 7% NDP NDP 2023 48.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 12, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Acadia 97%▲ UCP 3%▼ NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | April 12, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Calgary-Acadia

Odds of winning | Calgary-Acadia