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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Hays


2019 2023 Projection UCP 56% ± 7% 63.3% 55.6% NDP 35% ± 7% 25.2% 42.3% PTPA 3% ± 3% 9.3% 0.0%

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338Canada Calgary-Hays projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Calgary-Hays 49% 63% 56% ± 7% UCP 29% 42% 35% ± 7% NDP UCP 2023 55.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Hays >99%▲ UCP <1%▼ NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Calgary-Hays

Odds of winning | Calgary-Hays