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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Calgary-Buffalo


2019 2023 Projection NDP 55% ± 7% 48.7% 63.0% UCP 35% ± 7% 39.4% 33.9% GPA 4% ± 4% 1.9% 2.5% PTPA 3% ± 3% 6.9% 0.0%

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338Canada Calgary-Buffalo projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Calgary-Buffalo 48% 62% 55% ± 7% NDP 28% 41% 35% ± 7% UCP 0% 9% 4% ± 4% GPA NDP 2023 63.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary-Buffalo >99% NDP <1% UCP <1% GPA Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Calgary-Buffalo

Odds of winning | Calgary-Buffalo