Matthew Klein (@MattKleinOnline) / X

Matthew Klein

7,430 posts

Matthew Klein

@MattKleinOnline

Analyzing U.S. House and gubernatorial elections for @CookPolitical. Map enthusiast. Lover of soups, bisques, and stews.

Washington, DC

Joined September 2015

Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Nov 2, 2024
Final Selzer poll findings (and the actual result) 2022 Senate: R+12 (R+12) 2020 President: R+7 (R+8) 2020 Senate: R+4 (R+7) 2018 Governor: D+2 (R+3) 2016 President: R+7 (R+9) 2014 Senate: R+7 (R+8) 2012 President: D+5 (D+6) About as good as any pollster gets.
David Weigel
@daveweigel
Nov 2, 2024
Seltzer poll: Harris 47, Trump 44 in Iowa desmoinesregister.com/story/news/pol…
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Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Mar 6, 2024
Wow, an upset of historic proportions in Loving County, Texas — America’s least-populous county. Frankie Lozada, a total rando, has obliterated President Biden by 100 points. He captured all 1 votes, decisively outpacing Biden’s 0. Here’s what this means for November:
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Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Jul 23, 2024
My favorite Roy Cooper fun fact is that Republicans didn’t even run a candidate against him in 2012. His performance by county looks like one of those old Dixiecrat maps from the 1940s lol
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Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Oct 8, 2025
Quite the exchange in tonight’s #NJGov debate on the subject of Jack Ciattarelli’s business record. CIATTARELLI: I got to walk at my college graduation. SHERRILL: I’m so glad that you then went on to kill tens of thousands of people in New Jersey.
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Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Dec 5, 2024
I think we may have found Chuck Schumer's burner account
DC_Draino
@DC_Draino
Dec 5, 2024
Ok hear me out @KariLake was born and raised in Iowa What if she returns home to primary Joni Ernst in 2026 and take her Senate seat?
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Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Nov 22, 2024
Either Kamala Harris had precisely zero home state bounce, or she saved California Democrats from a biblical electoral drubbing.
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Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Nov 2, 2024
Replying to @MattKleinOnline
Selzer is not immune to the occasional outlier, which this may very well be. But it’s hard to view this as anything other than superb news for Harris, at least in the crucial Midwest.
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Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Jul 28, 2025
It is a little bit funny that after all the talk about Democrats being hungry for a new generation of talent, their top Senate saviors in NC and ME are 68 and 77.
Roy Cooper
@RoyCooperNC
Jul 28, 2025
I have thought on it and prayed about it, and I have decided: I am running to be the next U.S. Senator from North Carolina.
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Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Nov 8, 2024
Pennsylvania Democrats appear to have retained control of the state House by one seat. This was the messaging that put state Rep. Frank Burns (D) over the top in Cambria County and handed the party its deciding seat:
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Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Nov 18, 2024
Hey Connecticut, not really sure what the game plan was here but we all hate it. Just give them normal names and call them counties like everyone else, thx
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Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Oct 31, 2024
I saw some intriguing survey data yesterday that indicated Mark Cuban is Democrats’ best surrogate among Latino men under 50 — more so than any Latino figure.
Victoria Guida
@vtg2
Oct 31, 2024
.@mcuban has both investor know-how and celebrity status that adds some pizzazz to Harris’ pitch for an “Opportunity Economy” The alliance is striking bc he’s exactly the kind of spokesman that Dems have leaned away from in recent years My latest column: politico.com/news/magazine/…
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Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Dec 29, 2020
West Virginia... always a head-scratcher
Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Oct 15, 2025
Charlie Crist will not be satisfied until he has run for every single office in the state of Florida as a member of every existing party
Colleen Wright
@Colleen_Wright
Oct 15, 2025
Breaking: Charlie Crist is mulling a run for St. Petersburg mayor tampabay.com/news/st-peters…
90K
Matthew Klein
@MattKleinOnline
Apr 2, 2025
Democrats are performing so well in low-salience races that you almost wonder if they’d be better off not advertising in special elections at all. The Dem base is extremely attuned to off-cycle races, even when they get no coverage. As spending goes up, more Republicans tune in.
Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Apr 2, 2025
Walton is >95% counted, and Patronis is winning it by 44%, 15% worse than Trump there. Escambia is 90% counted, and Vailmont still leads by 5%, tho it’ll get redder after final ballots. Trump won Escambia by 19.5%. VERY high chance Dems outrun by more in FL-01 than FL-06.
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