Today, we're making three changes to our Electoral College Ratings.
AZ: Lean R to Toss Up
NV Lean R to Toss Up
GA: Lean R to Toss Up
@amyewalter on the presidential campaign reset:
NEW: The electoral votes of three states — including North Carolina — move toward Democrats as the party's base comes home.
Minnesota: Lean D to Likely D
New Hampshire: Lean D to Likely D
North Carolina: Lean R to Toss Up
Read @amyewalter's analysis:
For now, we are making five House race rating changes.
#AL01: Solid R to Toss Up
#AL02: Solid R to Toss Up
#LA05: Solid R to Toss Up
#LA06: Solid R to Toss Up
#NC01: Toss Up to Lean D
Our full House Race Ratings chart:
Five new House race rating changes:
#IA01: Lean R to Toss Up
#IA03: Lean R to Toss Up
#IL17: Lean D to Likely D
#IN01: Lean D to Likely D
#MT01: Likely R to Lean R
Read @ercovey's analysis:
New by @Redistrict: "The landmark decision in Allen v. Milligan could reverberate across the Deep South, leading to the creation of new Black-majority, strongly Democratic seats in multiple states."
Today, we're making six changes to our Electoral College Ratings.
AZ: Toss Up to Lean R
GA: Toss Up to Lean R
MN: Likely D to Lean D
#NE02: Likely D to Lean D
NH: Likely D to Lean D
NV: Toss Up to Lean R
@amyewalter on the state of the race post-debate:
Shomari Figures (D) flips #AL02, a seat that was redrawn to have a Black majority following a court order. For the first time ever, Alabama will have two Black members of Congress serving simultaneously.
One of the longest county voting streaks finally met its match tonight. Starr County, Texas — which was Democratic in every presidential election since 1896 — flips to Donald Trump.