Before running for governor in '18, Walz represented a seat that's now solidly Republican — in '16 Trump won MN-01 by 15 points, while Walz won reelection by just 1 point.
cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
Erin Covey
3,742 posts
U.S. House Editor at @CookPolitical. Contributing author to @The_Almanac. Formerly @InsideElections, @NJHotline, @NPR, @CSPAN.
- #NM02: A new poll from Democrat Gabe Vasquez's campaign shows him leading GOP Rep. Yvette Herrell within the margin of error. 9/20-9/26 Vasquez: 45% Herrell: 43% 7/19-7/25 Vasquez: 45% Herrell: 44% The poll was conducted by Global Strategy Group (500 LVs; +/-4.4%).
- #IL07: Rep. Danny Davis' campaign website appears to include AI renderings of the congressman (see the details on the suit, watch, his right hand, etc) web.archive.org/web/2023112015…
- Army veteran Laurie Buckhout (R) will face Rep. Don Davis (D) in one of the most competitive House races in the country this November. #NC01BREAKING: Laurie Buckhout wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in North Carolina's 1st Congressional District. #APRaceCall at 11:14 p.m. EST. apnews.com/hub/election-2…
- while most of texas' competitive down-ballot races are concentrated in the dallas-fort worth / houston suburbs, the biden campaign is investing in these relatively cheaper markets in south / west texasNEW: The Biden campaign is placing new TV ad spending in TEXAS to start 10/6 We've tracked buys in the El Paso and San Antonio markets
- Per the Casper Star-Tribune, @Liz_Cheney raised $2.05 million in Q4 and entered 2022 with $4.7 million on hand. This morning, her Trump-endorsed challenger @HagemanforWY announced raising $443,000 in Q4 and entering 2022 with $381,000 on hand. #WYAL
- The third Republican member of Congress to lose reelection, after Steve Chabot and Mayra Flores.WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Gabriel Vasquez wins election to U.S. House in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District, beating incumbent Rep. Yvette Herrell.
- NEW: an internal poll from Hillary Scholten’s campaign showed her narrowly leading Peter Meijer. Scholten led Meijer, 39%-37%, and Meijer’s Trump-endorsed primary opponent, John Gibbs, 44%-35%. Meijer’s seat is one of the few pick-up opportunities for Dems this cycle. #MI03
- We've got 2026 House ratings! Democrats are only three seats from a majority, but right now, the battleground of competitive races is small and fairly evenly divided. 39 seats are currently competitive (rated Toss Up or Lean), with 29 more seats rated Likely GOP/Dem.
- "Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R-Wash.) is considering a comeback campaign for her seat, according to people familiar with her thinking, after it fell into Democratic hands."
- As a Liberty alum, I am floored that the board took action. This was necessary, and it’s been necessary for years. But it’s telling that the straw that broke the camel's back was not the authoritarianism, the greed, or the racism, but a raunchy photo. liberty.edu/index.cfm?pid=…
- We’ll kick off the new year with a new teammate! Welcome to @ercovey, who will start as our House Analyst on Jan 8. cookpolitical.com/analysis/press…
- Inbox: House Majority PAC is spending another $19.9 million on TV ads, adding to their initial $101.8 million ad buy.












