Ethan C7 (@ECaliberSeven) / X

Ethan C7

8,185 posts

Ethan C7

@ECaliberSeven

25 | Elections Nerd | Moderate Democrat | Part Time Optimist | Full Time Skeptic

New Jersey, USA

decalibrate.substack.com/subscribe

Joined August 2019

Pinned
Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
May 23
Today, I'm making a bold prediction: By Aug 31, Cook will move 1/3 of their House ratings (21) left. Like in 2018, their ratings lag BADLY behind the data. And unfortunately, there's REAL consequences for this - ones that prob cost Dems a seat in 2024. open.substack.com/pub/decalibrat…
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Jan 9, 2025
TikTok would literally rather shut itself off from its largest market, than divest its ownership from the CCP. To put it bluntly, these are not the actions of a rational corporation. They're giving the entire game away on who REALLY calls the shots.
CBS News
@CBSNews
Jan 9, 2025
TikTok says it plans to shut down site unless Supreme Court strikes down law forcing it to sell. cbsn.ws/429s7ni
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Nov 2, 2024
For the newer members of Election Twitter, some context: The BIG thing Ann Selzer is famous for is consistently producing surprising Iowa poll results, many times incompatible with other polling - and being correct. A streak stretching nearly unbroken to at least back to 2008.
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Jun 25, 2025
Funny name man won his primary
Uncrewed
@Uncrewed
Jun 25, 2025
Anthony Weiner Comeback = Dead
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Oct 28, 2024
Once again:
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024
Oct 28, 2024
Kansas poll from the Docking Institute Trump 48.2% Harris 43.2% (Trump +5.0) (Fall 2024 | 645 Adults) kansasreflector.com/2024/10/28/sur…
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Sep 17, 2025
HUGE catch w/ this headline: while all 7 focus group Latinos regretted voting for Trump, not a SINGLE one would vote for Harris in a rerun. Anti-Trump backlash alone simply is NOT gonna cut it. Dems NEED to change their message & stances if they want to win back nonwhite voters.
Sam Stein
@samstein
Sep 17, 2025
NEW: In a recent focus group of Latino Trump voters, ever single one said they regretted their vote via @Carrasquillo thebulwark.com/p/exclusive-fo…
Readers added context
As the article itself notes, the seven voters were selected for having since regretted their votes for Trump. Therefore presenting this as a representative sample is misleading. thebulwark.com/p/exclusive-fo…
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Jul 3, 2025
There’s a certain irony to having one of the narrowest Congresses ever - where anyone could be Joe Manchin and shape bills exactly to their demands - but no Republican has the backbone to be Joe Manchin.
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Oct 15, 2025
Gotta say, definitely among the more creative quality-control questions I’ve seen in these online polls.
Matt Friedman
@MattFriedmanNJ
Oct 15, 2025
Someone just sent me this anonymous survey, which starts out with normal Mikie Sherrill messaging and then starts asking about crazy hypothetical policies, which I strongly support
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Mar 21, 2025
Americans as soon as Trump delays a SINGLE Social Security payment:
Joe Weisenthal
@TheStalwart
Mar 21, 2025
Howard Lutnick says that if Social Security didn't send out a check one month, his mother-in-law wouldn't call in and complain, and then says that if you're the type who *would* whine loudly about such a thing, that's an indicator of being a fraudster.
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Nov 8, 2024
The world hath granted onto us a supernaturally fantastic indicator of exactly ONE state. So naturally, that ONE state has decided to completely f*** with us. Dumbest timeline ever.
Ryan Brune
@BruneElections
Nov 7, 2024
It got bluer lmao
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Oct 28, 2024
Shoot. In all likelihood, this will not make the difference in WA-03. But if Joe Kent wins by a few hundred votes, there will forever be an asterisk tied to that election. Also, that arsonist deserves a decade in prison. Irrevocably tampering with democracy is unacceptable.
philip lewis
@Phil_Lewis_
Oct 28, 2024
Burning ballots were pulled from inside a smoking ballot box in Vancouver, Washington, this morning, hours after police responded to an arson at a Portland ballot box katu.com/news/local/van…
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Apr 25, 2024
BREAKING: TikTok declares it would rather shut down and forgo billions in profits rather than cut loose from CCP control. Incredibly rational behavior that definitely doesn’t give the entire game away.
harry styles
@harrystylehm8y
Apr 25, 2024
TikTok's owner ByteDance would prefer to 'shut down' its app in the US rather than sell it if all legal options are exhausted - Reuters
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Jan 10, 2025
LMAO this isn't even close. 9-0 SCOTUS decision against TikTok incoming in about a week.
The Recount
@therecount
Jan 10, 2025
At TikTok ban hearing before SCOTUS, TikTok’s lawyer, Noel Francisco, says “the government has no valid interest in preventing foreign propaganda.”
00:00
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Ethan C7
@ECaliberSeven
Nov 14, 2024
It’s gonna get leaked. Like, there’s Democrats on that committee, and their staffers as well. Of course it’s getting leaked.
Jake Sherman
@JakeSherman
Nov 14, 2024
🚨 🚨BREAKING NEWS FROM @PunchbowlNews : Rep. Matt Gaetz's (R-Fla.) resignation from Congress came two days before the House Ethics Committee was set to vote on releasing a “highly damaging” report outlining its investigation into the Republican, according to multiple sources
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