The last time the Dodgers won the World Series, Donald Trump lost the presidency one week later.
Nathaniel Rakich
83.5K posts
Nathaniel Rakich
@baseballot
Managing editor @VotebeatUS. Previously senior editor and senior elections analyst @FiveThirtyEight. Email, don't DM: nrakich at votebeat dot org
- WOW. ABC News can report that Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) is projected to win #WA03. This is the biggest upset of the 2022 election—she had only a 2% chance in our final forecast.
- Upset alert: Yadira Caraveo (D) is the projected winner in #CO08. She had only a 9% chance in our final forecast, making this the biggest upset of 2022 so far.
- LEOXIV is an absolute gift to crossword constructors
- The AP has also called #NVSoS for Francisco Aguilar (D), defeating Jim Marchant (R), who falsely claimed elections have been rigged for decades. It's now official that no election denier will administer the 2024 election in any swing state.
- AP call: Amendment 2 passes, 52–48%. Missouri becomes the 39th state to expand Medicaid.
- Lotta people coming out in favor of proportional representation today!Massachusetts has 33% Republicans and they get zero seats. Is that "your democracy?"
- Blue Wall check-in: -PA: Harris 52–48% with 35% in -MI: Harris 53–45% with 13% in -WI: Harris 51–47% with 29% in All three are setting up for a photo finish right now. Nobody knows anything yet.
- Up to six state legislators I'm aware of who were in Wednesday's mob: -MI state Rep. Matt Maddock -MO state Rep. Justin Hill -PA state Sen. Doug Mastriano -TN state Rep. Terri Lynn Weaver -VA state Sen. Amanda Chase -WV state Del. Derrick Evans
- Scene: Tomorrow morning, at breakfast A.J. Pierzynski, to no one in particular: You have to bunt here
- This would obviously be a baseless lawsuit, but just saying this has a chilling effect, and most pollsters don't have the financial resources for a legal battle. This is very disturbing.Trump says he plans to sue Ann Selzer and the newspaper in Iowa that published her poll showing Trump losing just days before the election
00:00 - The reason for Dem despair right now: The scenario where Harris is significantly overperforms the polls is off the table, and she really only has one path left (MI/PA/WI). But that path is still open.
- Zelenskyy will visit a Pennsylvania ammunition factory to thank workers ow.ly/jHbq105Jtui
