THIS CHEERED ME A BIT…

From: All For Caledonia on Facebook

A new Holyrood poll has predicted a huge 18-seat pro-independence majority as Scottish Labour support plummets.

With a little more than a month to go until May 7, the survey of more than 2100 people by Lord Ashcroft and published in Holyrood Magazine, also makes for good reading for John Swinney with the SNP predicted to achieve a majority.

On the constituency vote, the SNP polled at a dominant 39%, with Reform UK in second on 14%. Scottish Labour polled in third at 12%, followed by the Scottish Greens on 11%, the Scottish Conservatives on 10% and Lib Dems on 9%.

On the regional list vote, the SNP scored 31%, while the Scottish Greens came second on 17%. Reform UK polled at 15% while Scottish Labour again polled at 12%. The Scottish Tories are on 10% and Scottish Lib Dems on 9%.

The SNP are projected to win 65 seats, with the Scottish Greens in second on 18 – meaning a huge pro-independence majority.

Reform UK are on 17 in third place, with Scottish Labour in fourth on 13. The Tories and Lib Dems are projected to return 8 MSPs each.

Commenting on the results, leading pollster Professor John Curtice told the magazine: “Most voters are likely to back a party whose constitutional preference aligns with their own. That leaves former SNP supporters with few options even if they are unhappy with the SNP’s record in government.

“Disgruntled pro-Union Labour supporters in contrast have plenty of Unionist options between which to choose – and as many as one in three of those who backed the party in 2024 say they are most likely now to support one of the Conservatives, the Lib Dems, or Reform.”

He added: “Support for the party (SNP) is well down on the last Holyrood election in 2021. However, the criticism of their record among their former supporters pales into insignificance compared with the fact that two-thirds of those who voted Labour in 2024 believe that the UK Government has a poor record in government. That – and Keir Starmer’s unpopularity – hang like an albatross around Anas Sarwar’s neck.”

So, if the SNP were on 65 seats and the Green were on 18, that would mean both the government and the leading opposition party would be pro independence.

It is worth remembering that this is but one poll and, with the Reform UK Company Limited just one seat behind the Greens… and the election a month off, it would be premature to celebrate.

It is, however, cheering.

SORRY, NO ONE IS AVAILABLE FOR INTERVIEW

WE ARE ALL DEFUSING MINES IN AFGHANISTAN WITH THE ARISTOCRATIC BARONESS LADYSHIP COLONEL

Image result for AFGHANISTAN RUTH DAVIDSON

To be fair to the Tories, Jackson Carlaw said that the SNP proposals for a separate system did have merit, and they were looking at them closely.

So why not take part in an interview?

Maybe because they have been told by Mr Cummings’ underlings to keep quiet?

STRANGE OLD WORLD

p2utRAu1

The Liberal Democrats took the SNP to court today to stop them distributing a leaflet that pointed out that Swinson had accepted money (£14,000) from a guy who runs a company that fracks. The Liberal Democrats are supposed to be against fracking (except when they are not…ie when they are being told what to vote for by The Tories!)

The complaint was upheld, despite the fact that they had, in fact, accepted money from a fracking company boss.

According to Philip Sim on Twitter, Jo Swinson’s QC, Roddy Dunlop argued that the SNP leaflet was defamatory and “peddling a lie”, saying the donation was made to her constituency office, not her, it was from a director of Warwick Energy in a personal capacity, and that the company “does not engage in fracking”…

And apparently, the judge backed that up.

I wonder what her constituency office did with it.

Perhaps they bought a lot of tea and coffee, or perchance it was spent on stationery or new carpets…

Or, and this is just a wild guess, maybe they donated it to her election campaign, eh?

I suppose it’s not hypocritical to take money from your constituency office, is it?

Oops, there’s been another Murdo!

 

Image result for Murdo Fraser

The inimitable Murdo Fraser, the scourge of, well, nothing much really… has commented on the decision of the Green Party to withdraw their candidates from the North East Fife and Perth and North Perthshire elections, in order, presumably, to give Steven Gethings (majority 2) and Pete Wishart (majority 21) a better chance of winning.

It was a very generous gesture, but also a sensible one.

There was no realistic chance of the Green candidates winning and a vote which was split along independence/dependence lines could well have let in a unionist.

Murdo wrote:

@murdo_fraser
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Just in case there was any lingering doubt that the ‘Greens’ are now a wholly-owned subsidiary of the SNP… twitter.com/torcuil/status…
Image result for annie wells
Unfortunately, his equally-dismal colleague, Annie Wells, had, over the last few days, spearheaded a campaign for Labour in Scotland to join with the Tories where appropriate to keep the SNP out.
“Kettle”,  “pot” and “black arse” are words that come readily to mind.
Image result for nigel farage pub
Worse still for poor old Murdo, it appears that Nigel Farage (possibly soon Sir Nigel or Lord Farage, if he is to be believed) has stood down his candidates in any seat where there is an incumbent Tory leaver (over 300), thus vastly improving Conservative chances in the election.
Poor old Murdo now has to work out whether the Tories are a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Nigel Farage Party, or the other way round.
That should keep him out of mischief for the rest of the campaign.
I loved this tweet from Crow Esquire:
@CrowSaorAlba1
Replying to

In comedy timing is everything. Look how this clown tweets this on the same day that the Tories became a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Brexit Party.
Murdo for stand-up champion of the year.
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