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Tony Seba
1,651 posts
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Tony Seba
@tonyseba
Author, Educator, Speaker | #RethinkingHumanity 👤 🌏 — Co-Founder @AutonomyStellar @webuildstellar @rethink_x
San Francisco, CA
tonyseba.com
Joined December 2009
61
Following
42.3K
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  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Sep 11, 2023
    In my 2014 book #CleanDisruption, I said that lithium-ion batteries would cost $100/kWh by the end of 2023. Now, in September 2023, Benchmark Mineral Intelligence (@benchmarkmin) confirms lithium-ion batteries just dipped below $100/kWh.
    user avatar
    Benchmark Mineral Intelligence
    @benchmarkmin
    Sep 6, 2023
    📉Benchmark's Global Weighted Average Lithium Ion Battery Cell Price falls 8.7% in August to dip below $100/kWh, representing the first time the Global Weighted Average Cell Price has fallen below this threshold since August 2021. This decline can be attributed to the downward
    Benchmark's Global Weighted Average Lithium Ion Cell Price
    288K
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Mar 5, 2018
    I am delighted that Mexican Presidential candidate @RicardoAnayaC is using my #CleanDisruption and @Rethink_x work to inform a necessary public debate about technology disruption, its implications and the choices that society needs to make. @El_Universal_Mx
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Jan 8, 2024
    “In 2014, Seba predicted that battery cost would drop from $500 per kilowatt hour (kWh) to $100 per kWh by 2023, and it proved incredibly accurate.”
    Changes to come: 2024 to 2030, according to Tony Seba
    Major changes from 2024-2030: Brace for the impending upheaval, according to disruption guru Tony...
    From gulfnews.com
    80K
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Jan 25, 2024
    “Toyota says EVs will never pass 30% globally, Seba says plugins already at 40% in China.” — @TheDriven_io #Toyota, like many incumbents, can’t even forecast the present..
    Tony Seba and Akio Toyoda
    Toyota says EVs will never pass 30 pct globally, Seba says plugins already at 40 pct in China
    From thedriven.io
    75K
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Aug 8, 2023
    “It’s all starting to happen exactly as Tesla and @rethink_x’s @tonyseba have predicted for . . a full decade.” #cleandisruption 🔋 ☀️ #rethinkingtransportation 🚘
    Legacy auto are now locked into near bankruptcy. ‘Naïve green dreamers’? We were right all along.
    From medium.com
    189K
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    May 6, 2024
    This time, we are the horses: The #disruption of labor by #HumanoidRobots. 👤 🤖 〰️ 🚘 🐴 Our first longread in this series is now available via the @rethink_x blog.
    This time, we are the horses: the disruption of labor by humanoid robots
    From rethinkx.com
    251K
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Feb 25, 2024
    In 2014, I predicted the market would offer 200-mile #EVs for USD $11,000 by 2025, which would be cheaper than even low-end #ICE vehicles. BYD and other Chinese OEMs are a year ahead of that curve. 🇨🇳 🚘 🔋 #CleanDisruption #RethinkingTransportation
    user avatar
    Michael Dunne
    @dunne_insights
    Feb 19, 2024
    BYD attacking best selling gasoline cars with this new 4 character advertisement. “Electric cheaper than gasoline” Prices now starting at $11,100. Company says new pricing is sending ICE makers like VW and Nissan “into a panic”
    289K
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Jan 20, 2024
    Li-ion #batteries from CATL and BYD dropping as low as $56/kWh. 🔋 "Currently, VDA-sized #LFPcells are selling for less than RMB 0.5/Wh [USD $69.53/kWh]. Leapmotor's vice president Cao Li recently said in an interview that the company's procurement cost for LFP cells has dropped
    user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Jan 19, 2024
    In my 2014 book #CleanDisruption, I predicted that Li-ion #batteries would reach $50/kWh by 2027. That sounded insane — to the linear mainstream — but it looks like #China may reach that number sooner. 🇨🇳 #RethinkingEnergy 🔋 #RethinkingTransportation 🚘
    319K
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Apr 24, 2024
    A beautiful 13-year S-curve! 🐴 🚘 🇳🇴
    user avatar
    Max Roser
    @MaxCRoser
    Apr 23, 2024
    We just updated our data on electrical vehicles: ourworldindata.org/electric-car-s… Here is one datapoint: 93% of all new vehicles sold in Norway last year were electric.
    52K
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Jan 19, 2024
    In my 2014 book #CleanDisruption, I predicted that Li-ion #batteries would reach $50/kWh by 2027. That sounded insane — to the linear mainstream — but it looks like #China may reach that number sooner. 🇨🇳 #RethinkingEnergy 🔋 #RethinkingTransportation 🚘
    user avatar
    Magnus Malm ⚔️
    @malm_magnus
    Jan 19, 2024
    Replying to @wholemars
    .@tonyseba love this I am sure. 😄
    203K
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Oct 21, 2025
    🐴 ~ 🚘 ~ 🤖 #RethinkingTransportation
    user avatar
    phil beisel
    @pbeisel
    Oct 20, 2025
    Easter morning 2027: 5th ave NYC, Spot the human driven car
    74K
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Jan 30, 2023
    Yes — @Toyota USA unit sales plan for 2030 = 15% EVs 🔋 & 85% horses 🐴
    user avatar
    Rune Øverås 𝕏
    @rune_overas
    Jan 27, 2023
    Replying to @jpr007
    What is Toyota smoking? Maybe they need to have a chat with Tony Seba? 85% new ICE cars sold in 2030 in US? 😂 @tonyseba
    132K
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Feb 27, 2024
    The same 2014 cost curve that predicted USD $11,000/200-mile EVs by 2025 also predicted USD $5,000 EVs by 2030. It’ll probably happen faster.
    user avatar
    CyberVan
    @starchy73
    Feb 25, 2024
    Replying to @tonyseba
    How much lower can it go?
    99K
  • user avatar
    Tony Seba
    @tonyseba
    Mar 10, 2025
    I am very excited to share that my new book — #STELLAR: A WORLD BEYOND LIMITS, AND HOW TO GET THERE — co-authored with my good friend @jamiearbib, is out on March 18th. Its aims are to explain the ‘extractive’ world we live in currently, set out a vision for the extraordinary
    40K

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