There's a lot of prediction and uncertainty on the future of #SARSCoV2 in the human population. I'll do a little thread explaining why I *think* it will end up similar to the 4 "common-cold" endemic CoVs, but the time-scale on which this happens is up to us.
Stephen Goldstein
33.9K posts
- Replying to @AriFleischerYou're explicitly saying Mueller should have ignored the law against basing hiring decisions based on political affiliations.
- I want to spend a bit of time clearly laying out where #SARSCoV2 probably comes from, and how it could have ended up in Wuhan. Though it can't be ruled out there is currently no, zero evidence for a lab escape scenario while there is ample precedent for zoonotic spillover.
- Glenn wants specifics, so here’s a specific lie he told. The email from Kristian to Fauci said some features of #SARSCoV2 looked potentially engineered, but they needed to investigate further. Glenn writes they concluded COVID came from a lab. A lie. He thinks you’re stupid.Replying to @ggreenwaldOne of the most bizarre and still-unexplained episodes in the COVID pandemic was the group of scientists who told Fauci in late January they concluded COVID came from a lab. Within days, they publicly recanted, then received millions in grants from NIAID, controlled by Fauci.Readers added contextThe scientists had questions and decided to investigate more. On digging deeper they found that there was no evidence that SARS-CoV-2 was connected to a lab. No one “recanted,” they changed their mind based on evidence. Which is what scientists and anyone else *should* do. politifact.com/factchecks/202…
- Replying to @aetiology @LACaldwellDC and 2 othersIf the Capitol physician signed off that's a real problem. We can argue Pelosi *should* know better regardless, but still.
- Replying to @StuPoliticsAh yes, the totally sensible economic argument that the richest country in the world, which prints money for the world, is too poor to not keep letting non-rich people die for no reason.
- This narrative of Tony Fauci as puppet master pulling the strings of virologists the world over is so stupid it's hard to believe the journalists pushing it actually believe it.
- The key figure from Moderna. 6.4-fold drop in neutralization against the SA variant, but neutralizing titers remain >1:100 for all sera tested (and generally much more). We’re okay because starting titers (2 doses) are >1:1000.
- If you're spending time undermining a single-dose, fridge-stable, highly tolerable COVID-19 vaccine...even if it's in good faith you need to think really hard about whether you're making a positive impact or possibly getting people killed.
- Antibody vs T-cell framing drives me crazy given the role of the latter in generating the former.
- I would really urge fellow virologists not to speak with anyone from the @washingtonpost at this point given the anti-scientific disinformation campaign led by one of its most prominent voices.
- If AstraZeneca agrees to market an insufficiently tested vaccine they should be permanently barred from the US market by the next administration.The @realDonaldTrump administration is considering bypassing normal US regulatory standards to fast-track an experimental #coronavirus vaccine from the #UK for use in America ahead of #Election2020, reports @FT. ft.com/content/b053f5…
- ICYMI Dr @angie_rasmussen and I wrote about why the best evidence we have still points to a natural origin of #SARSCoV2. washingtonpost.com/outlook/virus-…





