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elioe
8,864 posts
elioe
@elioeFIN
World's most accurate hurricane forecaster - and NHC knows it.
See pinned thread for statistics, and GitHub repository for proof / evidence
Performance of all advisories I've ever made - at time of issuance, my advisories were more accurate than latest product of NHC by 21/40 indicators, and more accurate than latest product of JTWC by 15/20 indicators
- Performance of all advisories I've ever made - relative to various tropical cyclone forecasting agencies of the world
- Replying to @MatthewCappucciWell, some American sources (even degreed mets) behaved as if all Jamaicans lived in mud huts and Category 5 winds were to engulf the entire island. Lots of fantasies about getting a top 10 deadly Atlantic hurricane
- Replying to @PGDynesOn the other hand, total amount of global population aged 65 or above has risen by 73%. Total amount of population in India aged 65 or above has risen by 90%.
- It's January, roughly 4.5 months until the official beginning of Atlantic hurricane season, and NHC is blissfully hibernating. A low pressure area is beginning to form offshore of North Carolina, and it could acquire subtropical characteristics within four days.
- Performance of my advisories in the last year - at time of issuance, my advisories were more accurate than latest product of NHC by 27/40 indicators, and more accurate than latest product of JTWC by 11/20 indicators
- Performance of all advisories I've ever made - relative to various tropical cyclone forecasting agencies of the world
- There is a very small chance, that a tropical depression could form in East Pacific in approximately seven days, over a month before official start of hurricane season.
- Performance of my advisories in the last year - at time of issuance, my advisories were more accurate than latest product of NHC by 27/40 indicators, and more accurate than latest product of JTWC by 17/20 indicators
- Performance of all advisories I've ever made - at time of issuance, my advisories were more accurate than latest product of NHC by 22/40 indicators, and more accurate than latest product of JTWC by 13/20 indicators
- (1/2) A low pressure system in eastern subtropical North Atlantic has a symmetric warm core, and its center has no connection to a front. Deep organized convection has now persisted for over two hours. If these trends continue for a few more hours,
