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Just Curious / @belikewater
@Just_Curius
Forecaster "belikewater" @XriskFYI @Swift_Centre @SamotsvetyF @RANDforecasting. Superforecaster® with Good Judgment Inc. PhD Neurosci, MA Econ. Opinions my own.
Michigan, USA
Joined April 2017
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    But they won’t. Most of them will be long gone. In fact, most of today’s deniers, who prevent the implementation of policies we need, will be long gone and will never see or suffer the consequences of the decisions they inflict on the world.
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    Katrina made landfall south of New Orleans, Louisiana as a Cat 3 hurricane. Ida is forecasted to make landfall in the same spot, as a Cat 4 hurricane. I didn't understand why they didn't call for more evacuations with Katrina, and I don't understand why they're not with Ida.
    The 12z HWRF is just in, and it shows a 938mb / 115kt Category 4 just before landfall south of New Orleans. Ida is on its way to becoming a monster hurricane.
    map of hwrf forecast of ida just before landfall
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    In Singapore, for every 100 people who die of Covid, another 77 people die within 3 months after infection because of the after-effects of Covid (heart attacks, strokes, etc.). What is that number in the US, with our different population age structure? It can’t be too different.
    In Singapore, "..the number of excess deaths ..as 2490 ..with an official COVID-19 death toll of 1403.. The remainder can be explained by patients who passed away from other illnesses within 90 days after being infected with COVID-19." www1.racgp.org.au/newsgp/clinica…
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    Replying to @TracyBethHoeg
    Meanwhile, in the actual universe, Covid is now the 8th leading cause of death for kids, nevermind the long-term risk of disability and disease from repeated infections.
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    Replying to @aetiology
    If it's illegal to yell "FIRE!!!" in a crowded building if there's no fire, shouldn't it be illegal to yell "PLEASE REMAIN SEATED!!!" if there is a fire?
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    Replying to @KashPrime
    It's just wild that when some medical problem is noticed in women, especially younger women, male doctors so often bring up anxiety. If the same problem were seen in young *men*, they wouldn't even think about the possibility of anxiety playing a role.
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    Replying to @DrTomFrieden
    I have great respect for you and your work. But this simply isn't true. We have no reason to believe that Omicron won't cause long Covid, clotting-related problems, 60% increase in mortality rate after Covid, and neurological problems. This is NOT similar to flu.
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    Replying to @GaloresCircus
    People have really short attention spans. They would rather normalize all kinds of risks to themselves and others than change their lives to deal with those risks. Also true for climate change. Careful thinking is hard, so they’d rather ignore inconvenient facts.
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    Replying to @michaeldweiss and @IntelCrab
    @MichaelTWorley @TrumpCritic It looks like Ukraine really was able to retake the airfield by Kyiv!
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    "To combat climate change, we don’t just need people to make better choices. We need to give people better options," writes @MichaelEMann
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    Covid + a hemorrhagic fever outbreak linked to an imported case of what is rumored to be Marburg.
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    It’s the potential. Flu infects and causes illness in 5-15% of the country each year and kills around 0.12% of those. Yes, it’s bad. But this coronavirus could cause illness in, say, 30-90% and kill 0.1 to 5%. Do the math.
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    This is astonishing! For $8k, a church bought & forgave all medical debt poor people owed to debt collectors in Iowa, which totaled $5M. They are working with an organization called RIP Medical Debt @RIPMedicalDebt. Check them out & consider donating here: ripmedicaldebt.org
    "We asked them how much money it would take to forgive all the medical debt in Polk County," the Rev. Minna Bothwell said. "They responded, 'with what you have, you could forgive debt in all of Iowa.'" desmoinesregister.com/story/news/hea…