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Dr. Rick Knabb
@DrRickKnabb
Hurricane Expert at The Weather Channel
Atlanta, GA
Joined February 2009
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    One of the strongest, largest, fastest-moving hurricanes is about to put onshore flow into one of the most storm surge vulnerable regions: Apalachee Bay. Only way to ensure survival from surge like this? Don’t be there when it happens. Evacuate as instructed tonight. #Helene
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    #Michael has taken and changed lives, left communities in ruins, and even altered the coastline itself. Some of the landmass of St. Joseph Peninsula State Park, just offshore Port St. Joe, no longer exists. It takes powerful storm surge and waves to do this.
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    Our moon is the largest in the solar system, relative to the size of the planet it’s orbiting. So it appears fairly large during any full moon. But during tonight’s biggest full #supermoon of 2020 it’ll be near perigee, less than 222,000 miles away instead of the average 239,000.
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    No one, I mean no one, knows if #Irma will strike U.S., but we have time in case it does. Shop for supplies this weekend while lines short.
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    I desperately wish the forecast hadn’t become reality. Rapid intensification to cat 4 or 5 right before landfall is the hurricane scenario we’ve always dreaded the most. Shelter like you would for a tornado! #Ida
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    Eye diameter of #Ian about 35 miles across, a larger hurricane after Tue night eyewall replacement cycle. Entire extent of hurricane force wind field of Charley 2004 would fit inside Ian’s eye. This will produce a much wider swath of damaging wind, storm surge, flooding rains.
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    Staggering #Dorian numbers. Gusts to 220 mph. Storm surge 18-23 feet. Pressure 910 mb. And slow 7 mph motion is only going to get worse - maybe down to zero at times. Can’t think of many weather scenarios worse than slow-moving cat 5 over populated area.
    3 PM EDT Tropical Cyclone Update: Catastrophic Category 5 #Dorian moving across Great Abaco. hurricanes.gov
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    Tornado fatalities in large buildings like warehouses, factories, & schools can be brought down to ZERO going forward. Let’s change building codes & make it law for these structures to have safe rooms. We can affordably provide near-absolute protection in the strongest tornadoes.
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    We can have zero fatalities from #Irma in the Florida Keys if everyone still there evacuates with the time remaining tonight! @NWSKeyWest
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    Don’t try to outthink #Milton or make dangerous assumptions to convince yourself not to prepare or evacuate as told. Its eye might not go down middle of the cone. It might come ashore stronger than the forecast cat 3. Respond based on the warnings and evacuation instructions.
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    Friends in Texas and Louisiana, let’s dedicate ourselves to not driving cars onto water-covered roads or around barricades during #Harvey.
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    Often forgotten hurricane supply: cash, get it now. When power goes out, ATMs and credit cards won’t work. #Irma
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    In many ways #Dorian is an even worse hurricane today than yesterday. Forward motion 24 hours ago was 7 mph, now essentially zero. A stationary major hurricane over low-lying populations is the worst. Also it’s a bit larger now and high waves extend much farther from center.
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    Inner eyewall lightning outbreak before collapsing, new outer eyewall of #Ian taking over, so staying at current intensity a while, might weaken. Then could restrengthen before landfall. If not, slightly weaker, slow-moving majors produce massive surge, long duration wind & rain.
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