Powered by independent thinking and industry experts.
Supported by the latest AI and Machine Learning.
Macro Hive is a leading independent provider of global macro strategy.
Trusted by clients at 7 of the world's top 10 banks and all top 5 hedge funds, we combine best-in-class human and artificial intelligence to provide institutional investors with market-leading investment opportunities.
Our experts leverage large language models, such as those that power chatbots like ChatGPT, to develop innovative, data-driven solutions to complex financial problems and to build state-of-the-art models in search of alpha signals across asset classes.
Learn more
Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Bilal Hafeez on Bloomberg TV
Summary During the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the Dot.com bubble, there was a CONTEMPORANEOUS, NOT LEADING relationship between Job Cut Announcements (and WARN Notices) and jobless claims & unemployment rate, with US equities collapsing at the same time. This time we are tracking a LEADING relationship between Job Cut Announcements (and WARN Notices) and […]
Summary The ‘DeepSeek moment’ selloff earlier this year was primarily driven by the unwind of crowded momentum stocks and de-grossing events, rather than the popular narratives at the time concerning DeepSeek’s model development or fears about GPU requirements. AI demand continues to soar, evidenced by an exponential increase in token processing (e.g., Google processing nearly […]
Summary The AI revolution’s footprint has so far been much bigger in markets than in the real economy. The Magnificent Seven’s extremely large capex spending has a high import component that limits its GDP impact. IT employment is gently falling but represents only about 2% of private employment. As AI adoption spreads to the whole […]
Monetary Policy & Inflation | US
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut
Summary In this note, I show that the data does not validate fears of systemic credit weaknesses: Large businesses are in good financial shape, in part due to record profits. By contrast SMEs and low-income households are struggling, which is reflected by rising delinquency rates in specific loan segments. Banks, however, have managed their risk […]
Sam van de Schootbrugge
Key Events For Insights Into Market Pricing and Forecasts Around Key Events, Visit Our NEW Event Monitor! G10 Event Monitor Delays to key US economic data releases are reflected in options pricing for next week. Typically, CPI days command a vol premium of 30% in currencies versus USD. For option expiring next Wednesday, however, premiums […]
Sam van de Schootbrugge
When evaluating the performance of our momentum models we are considering the average performance across the one-, three-, and 12-month momentum models. Summary Momentum models are up 1% WoW. Equities led the way (+2.3%), followed by FX (+0.4%) and rates (+0.1%). Only equity momentum models delivered positive returns over the past three months (equities: +7.1%, […]
Nader is Argus' Middle East editor, based in Dubai. Argus is a leading independent provider of global energy and commodity market intelligence. Nader has more than 15 years of experience covering oil and gas in the region, and today heads up the company's Middle East and OPEC coverage. Prior to moving to Argus in 2015, Nader spent five years with the Middle East Economic Survey (MEES) weekly in Cyprus.
Rory Johnston is a Toronto-based oil market researcher, the founder of Commodity Context, a lecturer at the University of Toronto's Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, as well as a Fellow with both the Canadian Global Affairs Institute and the Payne Institute for Public Policy at the Colorado School of Mines. Prior to founding Commodity Context, Rory led commodity economics research at Scotiabank. He is fluent in seven languages and a regular contributor to Oxford Analytica. He combines deep industry knowledge with a strategic understanding of how resources, markets, and power intersect in today’s shifting geopolitical landscape. He is also the host of the podcast Tyranny Today.
Richard Schimel is the Co-Founder and Co-CIO of Cinctive Capital Management – a leading multi-strategy alternative asset manager. Rich has over 30 years of experience in the investment management industry. Prior to Cinctive, Rich was Head of Aptigon Capital, a division of Citadel, where he served on the firm’s Portfolio Committee. Before that, Rich founded and served as the CIO of Sterling Ridge Capital. Earlier in his career, Rich co-founded Diamondback Capital, where he co-managed the firm as well as portions of the firm’s overall investment strategy. Before Diamondback, Rich began his buy-side career at SAC Capital, where he was a portfolio manager,
Macro Hive helps me focus on ideas that truly matter and it’s fabulous! It’s developed into a community of people that are curating ideas for each other.
Jim Leitner
President of Falcon Management
Macro Hive is a network and community connecting some of the best investors and thinkers together. A real industry disruptor!
Etienne de Marsac
Head of Absolute Return at Sunny Asset Management
When tackling macro themes, I am faced with many challenges, such as the involvement of numerous variables and tons of related information. Macro Hive helps me deal with this complexity. Macro Hive has found a unique way to use human skill and knowledge combined with leveraging AI to deliver a fantastic product.
Lorenzo Lorenzi
Foundation Endowment Manager
Macro Hive has been able to build a first-in-class research team. I look to them for consistently high quality insights and fast moving analysis in reacting quickly to market-moving events. They have also become thought leaders and innovators in using quant analysis and machine learning tools in creating insights and improving traditional factor models, volatility analysis, positioning, and sentiment.
Mirza Baig
PM at Point 72
Spring sale - Prime Membership only £3 for 3 months! Get trade ideas and macro insights now
Your subscription has been successfully canceled.
Discount Applied - Your subscription has now updated with Coupon and from next payment Discount will be applied.