LETTERBOXD DOES THE OSCARS 2021 - BEST PICTURE - FULL DATA

This is the full data for the nominations process of Letterboxd Does the Oscars 2021, in the category of Best Picture.

Please vote for the winners if you have time:

---------- CLICK HERE TO VOTE ---------

-----LIST OF ALL NOMINEES HERE-----

How Counting the Votes Works

Best Picture works slightly differently compared to other categories when counting votes.

All voters have ranked up to 5 films. We consider only the films ranked 1st initially.

This is the full data for the nominations process of Letterboxd Does the Oscars 2021, in the category of Best Picture.

Please vote for the winners if you have time:

---------- CLICK HERE TO VOTE ---------

-----LIST OF ALL NOMINEES HERE-----

How Counting the Votes Works

Best Picture works slightly differently compared to other categories when counting votes.

All voters have ranked up to 5 films. We consider only the films ranked 1st initially.

To be nominated, a film must reach a "magic number" of first place votes. This "magic number" = (the number of voters) / (the number of remaining nomination places + 1). This number is always rounded up, or given +1 if not a decimal. For example, if we have 100 voters, the very first "magic number" = 100 / (10 + 1) = 9.09, so "magic number" = 10. This makes sense as it allows 10 films to be nominated, but it is impossible for 11 films to be nominated.

As films are nominated, "the number of voters" in the equation becomes "the number of voters who have not voted for a nominated film". If 2 films have been nominated and take up 30 votes, then our "magic number" = 70 / (8 + 1) = 7.78, so "magic number" = 8.

There exists also a "surplus" rule. The "surplus" = very first magic number + (number of voters / 10), then rounded up. So, with 100 voters, the "surplus" = 10 + 10 = 20. If a film hits the "surplus", then its 2nd place votes are allocated points in ratio with excess of the magic number. So, for example, if there are 100 voters and a film reaches 25 votes, then the ratio is magic number : excess, i.e. 10 : 15. So each voter gives 0.4 points to their first choice film (which ensures it hits magic number) and 0.6 points to their second choice. This rule is used by the Academy to not make voters feel that voting for a very popular film makes their vote worthless.

In Round 0, we observe the following steps:

1. All films with 0 1st place votes are eliminated.
2. We calculate the initial "magic number".
3. We check if any films are nominated or have reached "surplus" score.

In Round 1, we observe the following steps:

1. All films with less than 1% of total 1st place votes are eliminated. Those votes are transferred to 2nd place films.
2. For films that hit the "surplus" score in the previous round, votes are proportioned out.
3. We calculate the new "magic number".
4. We check if any films are nominated or have reached "surplus" score.

In all subsequent rounds, we observe the following steps:

1. If no film last round was nominated or reached the "surplus" score, we eliminate the film(s) with the lowest number of 1st place votes. Those votes are transferred to 2nd place films.
2. For films that hit the "surplus" score in the previous round, votes are proportioned out.
3. We calculate the new "magic number".
4. We check if any films are nominated or have reached the "surplus" score.

Best Picture also has the following rules:
- at least 5 films must be nominated.
- no more than 10 films can be nominated.
- any film that does not reach 5% of 1st choice votes cannot be nominated, even if it reaches the "magic number" via "surplus" runoff votes or otherwise.

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Best Picture

Total number of eligible voters: 458
Surplus number: 88
1% threshold: 5
5% threshold: 23

Magic numbers:
Round 0 - 42
Round 1 - 39
Round 2 - 34
Round 3 - 34
Round 4 - 32
Round 5 - 31
Round 6 - 30
Round 7 - 30
Round 8 - 30
Round 9 - 28
Round 10 - 28
Round 11 - 26
Round 12 - 25
Round 13 - 25
Round 14 - 8

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Letterboxd — Your life in film

List by Darren Carver-Balsiger Patron

LETTERBOXD DOES THE OSCARS 2021 - BEST PICTURE - FULL DATA