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Alberta

Recent electoral history | Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright


2019 2023 Projection UCP 65% ± 8% 77.7% 74.3% NDP 19% ± 5% 10.4% 17.6% PTPA 5% ± 5% 6.8% 2.7% REP 5% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright 58% 73% 65% ± 8% UCP 14% 24% 19% ± 5% NDP 0% 10% 5% ± 5% PTPA 1% 8% 5% ± 4% REP UCP 2023 74.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright >99% UCP <1% NDP <1% PTPA Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Alberta Projection | Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright

Odds of winning | Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright