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Will Ciccone
@weatherwilly
Weather Enthusiast
Randolph, NJ
Joined November 2012
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    **The 2026 Winter Outlook** More bullish this year than I've been in recent years. Enjoy.
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    I hope everyone appreciates how extremely rare it is to see this type of sustained pattern in east..special period coming up in general from meteorological perspective..look at it in perspective of entire northern hemisphere
    GIF
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    *Major Winter Storm for this weekend continues to gain traction*. There are elements to this that look classic. Stay away from app snow forecasts they change constantly. I will put out a preliminary impact map by tomorrow and estimate regional impacts, Rain/Snow line etc.
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    The trends are looking better for some nice mood flakes Christmas Eve morning! After the snow we just had does it get any better than this! Not more than an inch or two for some but flakes in the sky will be something! Best weather for Christmas in over 20 years here
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    Summers over in my book once this beautiful Fall airmass hits Wednesday night...summer dew points gone!
    GIF
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    Reporting 19" as of 1250pm Randolph NJ Epic
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    Snowing to beat the band in Randolph New Jersey a clear outperformer and it's just getting started
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    This picture is gold....for snow starved folks along east coast this is the exact pattern you need shown for storm development March 10th on...block is west east orientated, there's a western ridge and perfect 50/50 low...if this verifies my call for winter over in Mid-Atl would
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    Here is my preliminary forecast for Sunday. I will update every 24 hours as necessary up to the event. I am always more conservative with first release. As always, some details still need to be worked out. This is my best estimate of how the chips fall. More later.
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    Pattern Update: All in On January Pattern Change 1. I am forecasting a major pattern change for January 2. Evolution starts after Christmas, kicks in by 2nd week of Jan 3. There will be no pushing this off, if its delayed I change whole winter forecast
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    Just broke 2 Feet in Randolph NJ..storm total 25" so far ...all measurements taken using an average of 3 snow boards cleared every 6 hours
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    Final tally for tonight in Randolph NJ 27.8"...will see how it adds up again early tomorrow morning
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    Take a look at the two day trend in GFS...this is what I was trying to illustrate the other day, all the energy was sitting there offshore and all it takes is a minor adjustment in upper levels to consolidate and pull the energy towards coast. Models tend to under anticipate
    GIF
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    The worst thing to ever happen to weather forecasting was the creation of apps that just change every 6 hours with the gfs model, you would think after countless times of app going from 12-18" to 1-3" to 6-10" to nothing all within 24hrs people wouldn't follow them