>be Luana
>born in Brazil
>spend childhood as a ballerina, 8 hours a day, Bolshoi-level discipline
>97 kids fighting for ONE spot at Bolshoi
>become a 0.001% ballerina
>go to Austria for a Swan Lake Season.
>age 18, say "bye" to ballet
>want to join where the smartest and
I would like to clarify a few things.
First, the obvious one: we do not have or want government guarantees for OpenAI datacenters. We believe that governments should not pick winners or losers, and that taxpayers should not bail out companies that make bad business decisions or
monthly prediction markets update:
- Kalshi now live in 140+ countries with a single liquidity pool
- Raised $300M+ at $5B valuation co-led by Sequoia and a16z
- Kalshi official NHL prediction market partner
- Kalshi x Pro Padel League announced
- Expanded crypto-native deposits
How precise are prediction markets?
With all the chatter on the timeline, the real question is: How accurate have they actually been?
I present to you calibration plot a brilliant way to test probabilistic forecasts:
X-axis: Market probability at the contract’s midpoint.
daily prediction markets update:
- Mamdani featured Kalshi on his new campaign ad
- Kalshi x Base, deposits now support Base-native USDC
- @TrenchTalkDaily dropped an interview with @GaetenD trader who made $500k on Kalshi
- $1.3M+ traded on Powell's FOMC mentions market
- New
daily prediction markets update:
- Robinhood added a new Kalshi market category: Science & Tech
- @Kalshi called the NYC Mayor Election winner first
- A trader opened a $2.8M trade on Zohran Mamdani winning
- Kalshi NYC Mayor Election market did over $120M in volume
- Politics
daily prediction markets update:
- Kalshi just hit $4B this month, new record month
- Kalshi x Sui, deposits now support Sui-native USDC and SUI
- new Counter-strike 2 markets added
- $37M volume on Fed decision in October market
- Kalshi ad spotted on an NHL game
- Nvidia is
daily prediction markets update:
- Zohran Mamdani referenced his Kalshi odds on stage
- $4B in Kalshi volume over the past 30 days
- $1B volume in a single week + 886,222 daily transactions
- SNX trading competition on Kalshi hit $700K+ in week 1
- Jupiter add more markets