user avatar
Max Bergmann
@maxbergmann
Director Europe, Russia, Eurasia @csis. Host EuroFile/RussianRoulette. Fmr State Department (PM/T/SP). Dad, husband. Largely at @maxbergmann.bsky.social
Washington DC
Joined June 2009
Posts
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    We are witnessing the emergence of a global power in this crisis: the European Union. I was confident that a Russian invasion w/d be a shock to Europe and lead to a robust response. But never w/d I have predicted the announcements from Germany, EU, and others. Truly stunning. 1/
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    What. This cannot be. A ventilator maker could increase production by 500% but the USG hasn’t put in an order. No order, no ramp up of production. OMG.
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    This is Putin not simply declaring war on Ukraine but openly declaring a New Cold War with the West.
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    The press need to stop saying there was no “evidence of collusion.” That’s Barr’s spin. The report is FULL of evidence of collusion. Mueller just said it didn’t legally amount to a criminal conspiracy.
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    🧵on US security assistance to Ukraine. It's working. Ukraine might be one of the biggest successes of US sec assistance. And the reason is b/c US aid didn't focus on some high-end shiny objects but on core mil tasks. That focus s/d remain. 1/
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    Important thread. Nunes and the House GOP straight up lied about the FISA warrant - slandering the FBI and misleading the public. Nunes should be removed from HPSCI immediately.
    Reading through Carter Page's redacted FISA warrant makes clear the extent to which Nunes abused his access to classified intel to mislead people. And it shows why we can't trust a single thing he or his buddies in the House say about the investigation.
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    This is the blockbuster story of the day. Trump dropped $10M into his campaign in the final days of 2016...and it looks like foreign money. A bribe. From Egypt. It is simply unbelievable that investigators were too chicken shit to subpoena his finances.
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    Let’s also be clear: Tim Morrison is not a career FSO. He is a diehard Republican that is despised by Democratic FP community. He is to the extreme right of the political spectrum. He ain’t a never Trumper. He is a Trumper. And he is blowing the whistle.
    Replying to @mkraju
    ”It was the first time something like this had been injected as a condition to release the aid,” Morrison said.
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    Replying to @maxbergmann
    While I am surprised at the pace and extent of the steps, this also shouldn't have been a huge shock to those watching the EU. Anytime the EU comes under threat, it doesn't wilt, instead it fights like hell to defend its union, as @APHClarkson has noted. 5/5
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    Replying to @maxbergmann
    In a blink of an eye Germany will spend 100bn euros on defense. To put this in context their entire defense budget is 53bn euros. Germany, Sweden, and the EU are sending lethal asst. This will dramatically grow EU's hard power capabilities. 2/
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    This is big. Trump indebted to China.
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    Replying to @maxbergmann
    The EU was already an economic power. But it is showing its geopolitical resolve w/ sanctions. Europe will likely suffer a hit in the tens of billions of loss of economic activity. Much more so than the US. But the EU is leaning in. 3/
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    Replying to @maxbergmann
    I also expect this crisis will lead to some structural reforms to strengthen the EU. Expect to see some real advances on EU defense and perhaps some structural reforms to create a more EU foreign policy. 4/
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    It is time to stop pretending we all don’t know what’s going on here. It stopped being a mystery long ago. The President of the United States is beholden to a hostile foreign power. This is an urgent national security crisis.
    "DO NOT CONGRATULATE," national security advisers wrote in Trump's written briefing ahead of call with Vladimir Putin. Trump congratulated. The notes said to condemn the attack of an ex-Russian spy in London with a nerve agent. He did not. washingtonpost.com/politics/trump…