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Luke Muehlhauser
@lukeprog
Coefficient Giving, AI Governance and Policy
USA East Coast
Joined March 2009
Posts
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    Google's new 540B language model:
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    Tyler Cowen: "I've seen enough, I'm calling it, o3 is AGI" Meanwhile, o3 in response to the first prompt I give it:
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    Elon Musk: not a superforecaster.
    Replying to @elonmusk and @PPathole
    Based on current trends, probably close to zero new cases in US too by end of April
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    As the years go by, Wikipedia seems increasingly anomalous and worth preserving. It will be a dark day when it falls to ideology/etc. like almost every other major editorial website.
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    "The real problem of humanity is [that] we have Paleolithic emotions, medieval institutions, and god-like technology." - EO Wilson
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    This is very funny, and good advertising for shrimpwelfareproject.org and effective altruism. youtube.com/watch?v=VNbIKt…
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    New theory: The OpenAI Board became resentful of superforecasters' arrogance, and set out to permanently destroy their Brier scores in a single weekend.
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    Superforecasters think there's only a 6% chance we'll have a widely-distributed COVID-19 vaccine by April 2021. goodjudgment.io/covid/dashboar…
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    Here is your regular reminder that many of the indisputably top experts in AI think that AI poses a credible risk of literal, no-kidding, full-blown human extinction, and that it should be a top global priority to mitigate that risk. safe.ai/statement-on-a…
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    Published in Science, coauthors include a Turing Award winner (for co-inventing deep learning) and a co-author of the world's leading AI textbook: science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
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    Human civilization is mostly China, India, and lots of coastline. Also, Canada and Australia (approximately) don't exist. visualcapitalist.com/3d-mapping-the…
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    If ever a bill was self-recommending, here is the "Block Nuclear Launch by Autonomous Artificial Intelligence Act":
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    Reminder that the nonprofit AI safety field (or "industrial complex" lol) is massively, massively outgunned by, well… The Actual AI Industry. archive.is/DFvLR