In 2018 Figma did $4M ARR. Soon after I had a VC job interview where I did a Figma case study. I built a model with Figma becoming a $19B company in 2025.
I didn't get the job. They said my analysis was "unrealistic."
Thoughts on how the best companies compound unexpectedly...
From 2002 to 2024, SpaceX has raised ~$10B.
From 2002 to 2024, the total budget of NASA was $435B.
If capital was the only mighty unlock needed, NASA would own the moon and we’d be celebrating the opening of the first McDonalds on Mars by now.
In 2018 Figma did $4M of ARR. Soon after I had a VC job interview where I did a Figma case study. I built a model with Figma becoming a $19B company in 2025
I didn't get the job. They said my analysis was "unrealistic"
A thread on how the best companies compound unexpectedly...
Marc Andreessen has grown a16z from their first fund of $300M in 2009 to over $25B+ in AUM as of 2022.
His framework for understanding any business is simple. It comes down to unpacking what he calls "the onion theory of risk."
Here's what he means...