Really is quite the trend.
"In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the EU?"
Kevin Cunningham
11K posts
Kevin Cunningham
@kevcunningham
Lecturer in Politics | Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society | Fmr Targeting & Analysis @uklabour | @OULightweights | Chair MA Journalism @wearetudublin |
- SF is now the most popular political party in all public opinion polls. So, rather than lazily assuming some malevolent manipulation is at hand, if one is serious about winning them back you need to understand how this has happened and who this *third* of voters are. 1/
- Ireland tops EU housing price index inclusive of water, electricity, gas and other fuels 82% higher than the EU average, Eurostat.
- This place is actually stupid. When schools are closed in Ireland: Mid term break 👍 Christmas 👍 Summer holidays 👍 Bank holidays 👍 Week of snow 👍 Bit of wind 👍 Deadly virus ripping through the country? "nah, think of the economy" 🙄🙄
- Constituency with the most poverty (54% of kids in poverty) is Bethnal Green & Bow in London. It voted remain (69%). What is it about places with a high % of non-whites that they can be ignored by wealthy white leavers in their pure people vs corrupt elite narrative?"You guys should get out of London. Go and talk to people who are not rich Remainers" Boris Johnson's top aide, Dominic Cummings, is asked about his "next move" – as Parliament is suspended for five weeks, after passing a law aimed at blocking no deal bbc.in/34D0FxN
00:00 - Complete nonsense to delay aggressive measures to contain #COVID19ireland because the public aren't able for it. The WHO urged for EARLY aggressive measures a week ago. Many, many leading doctors and epidemiologist argue to move NOW rather than later.
- Notwithstanding specific circumstances it is worth remarking on how Sweden ended up in unrelenting restrictions for much of the year. While New Zealand, which responded quicker and aggressively to rises in cases had a very open economy for most of the year.
- Replying to @kevcunninghamSo to sum: SF is one part populism, one part left wing, and one part economically disadvantaged. And for the most part these features mostly overlap with one another. 12/12
- Looking at the cases by county it really does shoot off once the number of cases per 100k gets over a certain level. 14-day incidence rate of Covid-19 per 100,000 people.
00:00 - The caricature about the working class has to stop. If I had 20 unskilled manual labourers in a room how many would we expect to be in favour of Leave or Remain? Answer: 10 Leave, 10 Remain If I got 20 people aged over 70? Answer: 13 Leave, 7 Remain Src: YouGov/DataPraxis
- The average number of close contacts is high because many ringing in these days contracted this awful virus on Xmas Day, when guidelines suggested 3 households could congregate. Blaming people for contracting the virus is deeply, deeply unproductive for test, trace, isolate.
- I've completed an analysis of the spoiled voter in the link below. This is a voter who will invariably come into play in the future. open.substack.com/pub/kevcunning…
- For anyone who's worked for a party... Head of comms, Head of policy, Head of campaigns/data, and Leader of the party
- I've been doing them for since before they were cool and I'm going to do a little rant about the public MrPs. In terms of the Labour majority public MrPs vary here by about 200 seats. One of the reasons for this is down to the distributions. The 11 MrPs (and 1 SRP) are shown
