Kashyap Sriram (@kashyap286) / X

Kashyap Sriram

11.8K posts

Kashyap Sriram

@kashyap286

Global Macro Analyst | 10 years in capital markets | Gold Bug & Energy Bull | MBA - IIT Madras

Dubai

Joined July 2013

Pinned
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
May 20
"I think shrinking the [Fed] balance sheet is the wrong objective." - Fed governor Barr. With inflation through the roof, inflation expectations sky high, and the economy excluding AI in a recession, the Fed is printing money. But it's not QE anymore - the new name is RMP. 🧵
16K
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Feb 10, 2024
Study this chart of General Electric. That massive uptrend from 1981-2001 happened under Jack Welch's leadership. Business school professors eulogized him and financial journalists wrote fawning articles about his leadership style. Everyone praised him as America's greatest CEO.
1.2M
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Nov 4, 2024
So $NVDA wants the US Supreme Court to immunize it from pesky investor litigation when the accounting fraud is revealed and the stock crashes 80%. The end game is near.
370K
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Apr 10, 2025
A thread on tariffs 🧵 Only 7.1% of total US exports make their way to China, while 15% of Chinese exports make their way to the US. So, China will get hurt more, right?
294K
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Feb 2, 2025
Gold is going parabolic on a Sunday. Hmmm.
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Feb 2, 2025
The Baby Boomers were told "Never sell your IBM shares". In my native language (Tamil), we have a saying: மண்ணுல போடுற காசும் பொன்னுல போடுற காசும் எப்போவும் வீணாகாது! It means "you can never lose wealth by buying land and gold". In general, Indians feel wealthy when stocks
642K
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Nov 6, 2025
Bitcoin treasury company #Metaplanet has crashed and burned. The company owns 30,823 bitcoins at an average acquisition cost of $108k/BTC. The giant position is now 5% underwater. Rather than cut their losses like any good trader would, the company is doubling down, raising
372K
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Oct 9, 2025
Scariest chart in markets today. If the yen blows, the BoJ will have to raise rates or risk currency collapse. There are no easy options left. Raising rates will crash their bond market and US stocks. Currency collapse will lead to hyperinflation and chaos. The Fed can come to
195K
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Aug 17, 2024
Satoshi modeled bitcoin after gold. He even used the word mining to describe the coinbase transaction (every bitcoin block begins with a miner reward). But there's a key difference: if all the gold miners ceased operations today, gold will still have value. If all the bitcoin
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Aug 17, 2024
Replying to @Convertbond
Bitcoin's best days are behind it. Gold's best days are just beginning. This is the hard money rotation that libertarian crypto investors are going to miss.
810K
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Dec 17, 2024
The bubbles always win. The ones who are long the bubble lose it all when it bursts - or worse, get into debt. The ones who refuse to participate lose heart because it just feels like the irrational exuberance can last forever, and nobody wants to spend their life being Mike
Marhelm
@MarhelmData
Dec 16, 2024
Going forward, we will no longer publish stock ideas. Our service will be data only.
377K
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Dec 23, 2024
Bitcoin is not digital gold. Gold is not a network asset. If you hold it, you hold it. I moved apartments recently and I simply took my gold with me. Can't do that with bitcoin. You need to ask "the network" to move your bitcoin from one address to another. If the network says
303K
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Nov 4, 2025
Michael Burry was short in Q1 2025 ahead of the April flash crash. He's short again, just ahead of the AI bubble's final reckoning. His timing was perfect the first time because nobody expected markets to go down during a Trump presidency. His timing is perfect again because
THE SHORT BEAR
@TheShortBear
Nov 3, 2025
Michael Burry 13F This is the wildest (and early by more than a week) 13F I have maybe ever seen. Pure bubble shorting, Burry is going after the next 2008. I respect burry, however let’s remember it took 2-3 years from the moment he started shorting via CDS until 2005 until
471K
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Mar 13, 2024
MicroStrategy $MSTR holds 205k #bitcoin worth $15.2 bn at $74k/coin. Let's be charitable and say the software business is worth 5x revenue, or $2.5 bn, even though it is a loss making business. The stock trades at a 71% premium. Why does this premium exist? Because arb traders
868K
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
May 16, 2025
Dr. Burry is fully loaded with $NVDA puts. Has he figured out the company has been engaging in accounting fraud? I'm starting to believe this quarter is going to be NVidia's last hurrah.
315K
Kashyap Sriram
@kashyap286
Nov 3, 2025
Bitcoin miner turned AI bubble stock $IREN is up 22% pre-market on announcing a $9.7 billion GPU contract with $MSFT. As always, the devil is in the details. Before it can provide any service, IREN first needs to spend $5.8 billion buying the GPUs and ancillaries. MSFT will
476K