new blog post
"There Are No New Ideas In AI.... Only New Datasets"
in which i summarize LLMs in exactly four breakthroughs and explain why it was really *data* all along that mattered... not algorithms
the task length an ai can reliably finish (conservatively) doubles every 7 months
when i'm the age my mom was when she watched me graduate, ai will be able to do tasks that would take someone ~1000 millennia
ChatGPT already helps millions of people find what to buy. Now it can help them buy it too.
Weโre introducing Instant Checkout in ChatGPT with @Etsy and @Shopify, and open-sourcing the Agentic Commerce Protocol that powers it, built with @Stripe, so more merchants and developers
my grandmotherโs lifetime
- color film
- talking movies
- television
- cars
- airplanes
- plastics
- penicillin
- transistors
- computers
- the Internet
- the Concorde
my lifetime
- gpt-1
- gpt-2
- gpt-3
- gpt-4
- gpt-5
- the iPad
- ozempic
observations from my first two weeks as a Meta research intern
- research jobs are the same everywhere: no one ever asks me what Iโm doing or how Iโm spending my time; thereโs an implicit expectation to be interested and work hard
- biking to work in the sunshine has noticeably
heard a funny story about a friend who worked at a French LLM startup a couple yrs ago
> their plan. to be the first to market with a certain type of multilingual model
> early in year: incorporate. start building
> hired an awesome team by march
> scraped / acquired all the
openAI: we will build AGI and use it to rewrite the social contract between computer and man
DeepSeek: we will build AGI for 3% the cost. and give it away for free
xAI: we have more GPUs than anyone. and we train Grok to say the R word
my understanding is that both AMD and qualcomm make chips that have ~equivalent performance to nvidia
but neither can write the software tooling that N provides, like CUDA
i get that it's complicated, but which part of the stack could possibly be so hard to replicate? are
the first evidence i ever saw of superintelligence was in medicine
deep learning can tell male from female eyeballs from just a picture with 70โ90% accuracy
doctors still can't do this, and don't understand how it's possible