I am looking through latest OECD data, and I have to say again: what has been happening in Greece and Spain is incredible:
Jan Zilinsky
26.6K posts
Jan Zilinsky
@janzilinsky
Researching the role of technology in democratic politics. NYU PhD.
Using LLMs as instruments, not oracles.
- Exciting news For too long researchers have had to reply on *years of schooling* as a measure of "education". We all knew those metrics could be misleading without adjusting for quality. We used them anyway. We no longer have to - there is now a database measuring learning
- Murders in NYC 1990: 2,262 2001: 649 2016: 330 2017, as of April 16: 74 nyc.gov/html/nypd/down…
- Republicans have warm feelings for right-coded groups (no surprise). But do Democrats wish ill on the rich and successful? Yes, if you read your tweets. No if you poll the silent majority.
- *New paper * in @polcommjournal: What matters more for believing disinformation: social media use, political views, or a conspiracy mindset? First, some good news: in most places, only a minority “fell” for the debunked claims which were used to justify invading Ukraine. 🧵↓
- A question that came up about the FT chart was whether the ideological gender gap replicates in other datasets (@EconTraina looked at GSS, as also suggested by @paulnovosad). Here's a plot w/ CES data (thanks @shirokuriwaki!) cc: @_alice_evans @arindube @SEAsheltie @rnishimura
- Claim: there is a huge ideological divide between men and women. I'll let you decide: - Do women and men disagree *on the issues*? - Do young people in the left panel look so different?
- Share of EJMR posts from the University of Chicago: 47x larger than posts from MIT. A quip about revealed preferences isn’t even needed, right?
- Replying to @janzilinsky
- Some stats about Italy - its population shrank 4 years in a row - live births decreased by 128,000 relative to 2008 - the number of people aged 65 and over has increased by 560,000 since 2015 - 160,000 Italians moved abroad in 2018
- Bernie: the secret to beating Trump is class politics. I think I'll start putting politicians' confident claims directly into my charts. Reality: the anti-rich voters are already anti-Trump, and the people who support DJT admire wealth.
- There seems to be no country where people underestimate the number of immigrants home.gwu.edu/~jsides/huddle…
