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Mike Beuoy
@inpredict
actuary | creator of inpredictable.com | co-creator of evollve.net | you can also find me at bsky under the same handle
Los Angeles
Joined July 2013
Posts
  • Pinned
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    I'm so excited for this launch, and incredibly proud of the work @cwetzel31 and @basketballvalue have put into this. I'm really looking forward to how we can contribute to the sport of volleyball.
    We are thrilled to announce the launch of Evollve! Our goal at Evollve is to provide the volleyball community with consistent, reliable, and easily accessible data and analysis. Check it out at evollve.net!
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    bringing back the pac man chart for last night's insanity
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    Replying to @inpredict
    What's Hali's clutch scoring WPA after tonight lmaoooo it might be the highest in a single postseason run
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    I took my three point "windup" charts and animated them. Note Steph Curry's quick release. The animation starts at the beginning of each player's shooting motion. The ball is out of Steph's hands much sooner than the rest. Derived from 2013-2016 tracking data. 1/
    GIF
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    The success rate of “must score” drives in the NFL leads me to believe that NFL offenses play sub-optimally during “normal” phases of the game.
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    What's the most iconic three-pointer of Stephen Curry's career?
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    Nuggets series win probability: Game 5, down 13, Q3 1:25 : 0.2% Game 6, down 19, Q3 10:10 : 0.4% It's currently 95%.
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    This is *exactly* the type of time to take a 3 if you can get a good look. Heat win probability with a made 3: 62% Heat win probability with a made 2: 38% A made 3 is 63% more valuable than a made 2. Compared to 50% under typical game conditions.
    Jimmy Butler doesn't regret going for the game-winning shot in Game 7.
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    Replying to @SamQuinnCBS
    Just the play by play data era - since 1997.
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    A yawning chasm separating DeRozan from everyone else on this chart.
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    Of the 10 most improbable comebacks of the playoffs in the play by play era (since 1997), the 2025 Indiana Pacers have THREE of them. #4 (tonight), #5 (against the Cavs), and #7 (against the Bucks)
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    I don't know who needs to hear this but
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    Pac-Man chart for tonight's Sixers-Celtics game (I'm committing to this bit). There's probably a good "playing with your food" analogy you could make with this chart. Once again, sound on.
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