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Grant Hawkridge
@granthawkridge
Golf, cigars, whisky & looking at charts
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    This cycle isn't anything new... Bonds roll over... then stocks... and then commodities... and hey look... Bonds have now found a bottom... stocks will soon be next then commodities... and the cycle goes on... this is 101 intermarket analysis... $AGG $SPY $DBC
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    When we see 3 consecutive 1% gains on the S&P 500 $SPX $SPY this has been a great time to be a buyer over the last decade and since 1950 #stocks have been higher 86% of the time with a median 1y return of over 20%
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    For the first time since January 2022, our Risk On / Risk Off Indicator has turned green. $SPY $SPX #stocks
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    The S&P 500 is up 72.6% over 678 trading days since the 2022 low, below the average bull market gain of 153.7% over 1,145 days. We’re now in year 3, a phase that’s historically flat and choppy. That’s typical mid-cycle digestion... not a red flag. This bull isn’t young, but
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    When these trends change, they tend to last a while... $SPY #stocks $BCOM #Commodities
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    It's still the best election year so far going back to the 1950s
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    Do you really want to see a 0.50% rate cut to start with?
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    Year 3 of a bull market tends to be messy, and the current bull market is behaving as expected.
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    Only 22% S&P500 stocks are outperforming the S&P500 index this year
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    The Zweig Breadth Thrust setup has begun! We surely couldn't get three thrusts in just over a year... This signal is meant to be super rare! 🤯
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    This is the worst start to the year for S&P 500 since 1950 $SPY $SPX #stocks Chart data 1990 to Current
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    Trigger Warning! Breadth thrust regime has been triggered... The first time since June 2020... This regime is now good for 1-year... $SPY $SPX #stocks
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    Normally, after we see big stock market crash events and we get back to 80% or more S&P 500 stocks above their 200-day, this trend tends to continue for some time... Strength begets strength... Guess what... we just crossed 80%... Is this time going to be different?