Here’s my take on the $TAO halving;
1) The setup
TAO halves when circulating supply hits ~10.5M
We're currently around ~47 days out.
Emissions from the root network drop 50%. Scarcity turns up; liquidity injections into subnets slow. That’s the whole game.
People keep
Most people see $TAO and think “AI coin.”
Where $BTC decentralized money, $TAO decentralizes intelligence.
It does this by creating a seamlessly aligned incentive mechanism, harnessed by 128 "startups", all competing on the network, every single day.
It has a 21M cap with
Its clear that $TAO is emerging as the decentralized AI winner..
...the backbone of a decentralized network of AI subnets; each competing for emissions, yield, and compute.
When you buy $TAO, you’re buying the infrastructure for the future of AI.
We are so early.
Just finished watching the new $TAO Documentary from @evert_scott
Easily one of the most important explorations of how AI, crypto, and decentralization are colliding.
TLDR; Go watch it now!
Here are my 3 biggest takeaways...and why I think this feels like watching the early
The Incentive Layer - A bittensor documentary 🎥
Watch now on TheIncentiveLayer.com
Explore how a global network is reshaping the production of intelligence through open collaboration, aligned incentives, and permissionless innovation. Taking the lessons from bitcoin and
Owning $TAO is one thing.
Truly understanding it is another. (and my understanding is still growing)
Once you grasp how subnets, validators, miners, stakers and alpha tokens interact, it stops being simply a token, and starts being a living and breathing ecosystem.
And you
The $TAO halving hits in ~38 days.
Emissions drop 50%. The supply shock is coded.
Behind the Scenes:
– TAO recently broke $500 again
– Subnets are still paying 100–400% APY
– Demand keeps building from smart institutional money
Most investors will wait for $TAO to blow past
Here’s my take on the $TAO halving;
1) The setup
TAO halves when circulating supply hits ~10.5M
We're currently around ~47 days out.
Emissions from the root network drop 50%. Scarcity turns up; liquidity injections into subnets slow. That’s the whole game.
People keep
You quickly realize that $TAO isn’t the trade.
The trade is what’s built on $TAO.
Subnet alpha tokens are the early-stage startups inside the ecosystem.
Some will go to zero.
Some will 10x.
But the emissions don’t stop.
And the game is live.
There’s a supply shock coming to $TAO.
Network growth is 4× since last year, but emissions are about to halve.
Simple math:
📈 demand → up 📉 supply → down
As @SiamKidd pointed out, $TAO is following in the footsteps of $ETH. ⚡️
A year ago, I said that $TAO would likely follow the price action that ETH did in 2017. The blue candles in this chart is ETH in 2017.
At the time when I theorised this, people thought I was crazy. Especially because TAO was like $300 back then.
Interestingly, the price action
$TAO halving in ~6 weeks cuts daily TAO rewards in half.
Supply shock + growing demand + subnets that already print triple-digit APY…
Price doesn’t have to moon for this to work; it just has to trend up while you compound the juicy staking yield.
Here’s my take on the $TAO halving;
1) The setup
TAO halves when circulating supply hits ~10.5M
We're currently around ~47 days out.
Emissions from the root network drop 50%. Scarcity turns up; liquidity injections into subnets slow. That’s the whole game.
People keep
The easiest edge in $TAO right now is: pick 2–4 subnets with real product-market fit, stake, let validators drip you yield, and measure in TAO.
Even if a subnet only tracks TAO, your APY still stacks your stack and your total TAO number go up
$TAO recently broke its downtrend from the Dec 2024 highs.
Re-tested. Held the 200-day.
Now it’s coiling.
But the chart is the least interesting part.
What really matters:
- 128 subnets fighting daily for emissions
- Alpha tokens paying 100–400% APY
- Some already 5–6x’ing
$TAO has broken out of an almost 12 month downtrend recently.
But the chart is just the surface.
What actually matters:
– 128 subnets
– Real-time emissions
– On-chain APYs that still print during red weeks
$TAO is a new asset class in the making.
A $TAO example that most investors are underestimating:
Hold a subnet at ~136% APY for a year 👉 alpha token count ~doubles.
If that subnet 5x’s vs $TAO and $TAO 5x’s in $USD after halving…
The multiples start stacking up quick!