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Danny Moses
@dmoses34
Investor (looking for the next Big Short)/Inventor (BlackJack Side-Bet Games)/Skeptic (student of Behavioral Finance)/Hedonist; not Investment advice
United States
Joined November 2015
Posts
  • Pinned
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    Always great to sit down with @pboockvar & get his thoughts/views on the markets. We had a @Kalshi speed round near the end of the episode regarding the U.S. economy and how it might look at the end of 2026. $MU $GLD #FED $FXI #OIL #Commodities $WMT
    Are we overthinking this market or not thinking enough? @dmoses34 & @pboockvar tackle yields, housing, the Fed, and China's growing tech threat on the latest episode ๐ŸŽ™๏ธ YouTube: youtu.be/VX9F6H-d02c Apple: apple.co/4nVgDwz Spotify: tinyurl.com/2tmfrrk2
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    I am listening to Twitter Spaces on $TSLA where @elonmusk dropped in. I always make a point to listen to โ€œbullsโ€ when I am bearish and โ€œbearsโ€ when I am bullish (no matter the stock). In my career, Iโ€™ve never felt better about a short. @Seawolfcap @VD718 @RiskReversal @GuyAdami
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    Join us tonight on Twitter Spaces at 9PM; I hope to elaborate on some of the issues discussed @TheProblem w/o putting @jonstewart to sleep... x.com/i/spaces/1ypKdโ€ฆ x.com/i/spaces/1ypKdโ€ฆ
    00:00
    The Problem With Jon Stewart
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    I rarely tweet "threads" on the markets but I feel compelled to at this moment; mainly so I can clear my own head but also b/c I hope by sharing my thoughts I may help some other investors; I would normally do this recording @OnTheTapePod but this is a stream of consciousness 1/
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    Advice for $PTON:Start taking deposits on Autonomous Bikes that will never exist; talk about the bike's ability to power your home; ignore product recalls from US Gov't; sell bikes to Hertz so they can rent them out; find option market makers willing to buy Calls (see $TSLA)
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    This is the part of the show where the โ€œtechโ€ research analysts that cover the likes of $CVNA $UPST $AFRM $RKT walk down the hallway to find the โ€œspecialty financeโ€ analysts and ask things like โ€œwhatโ€™s a securitization?โ€ โ€œwhat is Gain on Sale (GOS)?โ€ & โ€œdo funding costs matter?โ€
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    Wanted to wait for the 10Q on $TSLA before commenting on the qtr; I'm sure 99% of people won't look through it but it always helps to clarify a few things; sec.gov/Archives/edgarโ€ฆ First thing that struck me off of the earnings report was
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    If trading #memestocks was equated to playing chess, then all of the pawns are being taken and the knights/bishops, in the form of @ryancohen @CEOAdam etc. are in retreat; itโ€™s all about taking the Queen @CathieDWood and then checkmating the King @elonmusk to clean up this mkt
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    Replying to @dmoses34
    *hard not to be bullish on GOLD (whether or not the #FED blinks) *everything has it's price (for a select few companies that price is $0 but there will be great buying opportunities that will arise for quality) *FOMO HODL are killers in this type of market (stay disciplined) ๐Ÿ™
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    The obsession over $TSLA 2nd qtr delivery #'s is absurd; whether it's 80K/85K/90K/95K it changes nothing; the reality is that $TSLAQ is no longer a "technology" co.; it's an "auto" co. w/ poor logistics, shoddy mfg, horrid margins & horrible leadership; only matter of time for BK
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    Replying to @GerberKawasaki and @elonmusk
    Please join..I will double my short positionโ€ฆ
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    ๐Ÿงตon $SIVB (thoughts on current situation) 1/ it may not have mattered in the end but I'm shocked that when $SIVB announced the losses in their securities book & subsequent capital raise, that the raise wasn't already subscribed; created their own bank run: "Capital Markets 101"
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    Replying to @dmoses34
    you can curse Powell all you want but it was Bernanke that acted (kept acting) in a manner that has led us here; the majority of investors don't ask questions when markets are rising, they only look for excuses & to lay blame on somebody other than themselves when markets fall 4/
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    There are many "problems" with the stock market these days..hopefully this episode can shed some light on them...releases at midnight tonight!!! Tomorrow on Apple TV+, @TheProblem with the Stock Market!
    00:00