Three-Quarters (77%) of Canadians Want an Immediate Election to Give Next Government Strong Mandate to Deal With Trump’s Threats | Ipsos ipsos.com/en-ca/three-qu…
Darrell Bricker
57K posts
Darrell Bricker
@darrellbricker
Chairman, Ipsos Canada. Social-political researcher, author, commentator. Author Big Shift, Empty Planet, Breaking Point.
- I’m in Paris right now. Took this of Notre Dame yesterday. So incredibly sad.
- A couple of points on the St. Paul’s by-election. First, turnout was high for a by-election - 44%. This was a workday Monday in a riding that is a Toronto traffic nightmare. This shows a strong desire among voters to send a signal for change. 1/n
- Few thoughts on state of federal politics. For 18 months or so, Trudeau and LPC have been have been stuck well behind Polievere and CPC facing certain electoral defeat. Previously thought mid-20s was LPC floor. Recent polling shows they are now sinking past that. 1/n
- In the next day or so we will be releasing with @globalnews a new survey on Canadians and Canada Day. Let’s just say these are the saddest numbers I’ve seen on this topic in 30 years. Frankly, I’m worried about us.
- Given that Carney leading the LPC pulls votes more from the NDP than from the CPC, why Singh would consider propping up a Carney-led LPC is puzzling. Then again, most of the NDP’s political decisions over the last year have been puzzling.
- The saddest part for me in the dismal findings in our Canada Day poll for @globalnews is the negative views of younger Canadians. If the next generation of leaders, etc don’t believe Canada is worth celebrating, what kind of future will we have?
- To see truth in politics don’t listen to what politicians, parties say, look at what they do. CPC and PP are bombarding Cdns with paid media at a weight I can’t remember seeing even during an election. That’s how much money they have been able to raise. 1/n
- Yes, young people in Canada more likely to be voting for Conservatives than older people. But not because they have embraced right wing policies, values, etc. They are voting for CHANGE. What CPC got right and NDP gave up.
- A conundrum for the NDP - the polls are bad for them too. Strange. Usually when LPC goes down NDP goes up. Not this time. Seems to be rejection of the coalition in total, not just LPC.
- Good example of political maxim - if you’re explaining, you’re losing. If it requires 3+ minute video to explain a problem only experts think exists, unlikely to move hearts and minds. Especially when parade of cottage owners, seniors, small business owners, etc beg to differ.It’s time to change the capital gains tax. Here’s why:
00:00 - Another point on the St. Paul’s by-election. Turnout was 44%. Average turnout for the last 10 federal by-elections was 28%. In other words, the result wasn’t a freaky artifact of low turnout as sometimes happens.
- What we see in our polling released today with @globalnews is party choice and preferred PM are nearly identical and moving together. Gap has halved since last week. This has turned back into a race.
- Curious strategy from Libs to make the SNC strategy about motives. Cdns 2:1 believe JWR over PM. 75% agree there was inappropriate political interference. 62% say PM has lost moral authority to govern. 84% want RCMP investigation, 85% a public inquiry. 1
