Cole McFaul (@colemcfaul) / X

Cole McFaul

1,161 posts

Cole McFaul

@colemcfaul

Geopolitical Analyst, @AnthropicAI Non-resident Fellow @ACGlobalChina Previously @CSETGeorgetown Views my own. RTs ≠ endorsement.

Joined March 2014

Pinned
Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Apr 20
NEW @CSETGeorgetown + @emergingtechobs piece! Does China's access to US semiconductor technology help the PLA develop and deploy military AI? After 3 years reading thousands of PLA procurement docs, @SamBresnick and I say yes. Here’s how, and why it matters: 🧵/13
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Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Jul 29, 2022
The Biden admin has offered to exchange Viktor Bout for Brittney Griner+Paul Whelan. No mention of Marc Fogel, my former teacher who is serving a 14-year prison sentence. I wanted to share my thoughts TLDR: Please share and sign his family’s petition: bit.ly/3BIthZN 1/
Sign the Petition
From change.org
Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Sep 3, 2025
🚨 NEW REPORT! 🚨 After 2 (!!) years working on a new dataset of thousands of PLA contracts, I’m very excited to share a new report, featured in today’s @WSJ! We ask: Who are the PLA’s AI suppliers? The answer: an unexpected, emerging class of firms and universities. 🧵/15
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Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
May 29, 2025
Hoping we adopt a targeted approach to research security. But mass revocations of Chinese student visas will undermine US tech advantages. >80% of Chinese STEM PhDs stay in the US post-grad. When they do, the US benefits. Intl students are core to US S&T. Here's why 🧵 /15
Secretary Marco Rubio
@SecRubio
May 28, 2025
The U.S. will begin revoking visas of Chinese students, including those with connections to the Chinese Communist Party or studying in critical fields.
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Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
May 27, 2025
The White House just paused ALL visa interviews for foreign students. A disaster for longterm US competitiveness in emerging techs. Five months in, and the damage is adding up. A detailed account of the disruptions to US science, by month. 🧵 /40
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Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Oct 30, 2025
Looks like Trump is considering allowing exports of advanced semis to China. Nvidia argues that its chips won’t enable PRC military modernization. So @SamBresnick and I dug through hundreds of PLA procurement documents yesterday. We find evidence of the opposite. 🧵
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Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Oct 15, 2024
New report!! The Chinese Academy of Sciences is among the most consequential S&T orgs in the world. CAS plays a crucial role in the PRC’s tech ambitions—understanding CAS is key to understanding China’s S&T ecosystem. My latest with @HannaDohmen, @SamBresnick, @emily_sw1 ⬇️/##
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Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Oct 7, 2025
New piece! In my first for @ForeignPolicy, @SamBresnick and I argue that China has found at least some success in its military-civil fusion efforts, complicating the United States' ability to hamper China's military modernization. 🧵/11
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Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Jul 13, 2022
Life update! I’ve recently started at @CSETGeorgetown as a Research Analyst on the regional AI team. So excited to get to work with @RitaKonaev and my (extremely talented) CSET colleagues on regional AI issues, tech alliances, US-China tech competition, and more!
Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Apr 2, 2025
Replying to @Birdyword
Hard to see how this doesn’t encourage allies and partners in the Asia-Pacific to reevaluate their ties to the US going forward. Should see more hedging from middle powers.
Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Apr 2, 2025
RIP friendshoring! It was a good run Hard to see how the tariffs won't encourage countries in the Asia-Pacific to reevaluate ties to the US. We should see more hedging between the US and China by middle powers. Post-COVID 2020s saw strengthening of our ties with key partners
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Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Jul 29, 2022
Replying to @colemcfaul
Mr. Fogel is an American patriot who has dedicated the last 35 years of his life teaching the children of @StateDept, @DeptofDefense, and USG personnel (as well as the children of the diplomatic corps of our allies abroad). #FreeMarcFogel 10/
Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Jul 29, 2022
Replying to @colemcfaul
Marc Fogel was my favorite teacher at @AAS_Moscow. Like he did for hundreds (if not thousands) of other students over the course of his career, Mr. Fogel challenged my assumptions, broadened my understanding of the world we live in, and encouraged me to pursue my passions. 2/
Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Jul 29, 2022
Replying to @colemcfaul
Because Brittney Griner is a WNBA superstar and celebrity, she was included in the proposed swap and will (hopefully!) be able to come home. But a devoted teacher who has taught hundreds of Americans in both the US and abroad? Crickets so far. 8/
Cole McFaul
@colemcfaul
Jul 29, 2022
Replying to @colemcfaul
CALL TO ACTION Please take a moment to sign and share the family’s petition: bit.ly/3be2gSW A couple articles to learn more about Marc Fogel's situation: wapo.st/3bfYNTT bit.ly/3Je97bu bit.ly/3be2gSW Thanks so much! END/