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Ben Casselman
@bencasselman
Econ reporter @nytimes. Formerly @fivethirtyeight @WSJ. Adjunct @newmarkjschool. He/him [email protected] Signal: bencasselman.96 Photo: Earl Wilson/NY
Joined September 2008
Posts
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    Just received this statement from Lisa Cook, via her attorney: "President Trump purported to fire me 'for cause' when no cause exists under the law, and he has no authority to do so.  I will not resign. I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have
    President Trump said he is firing Lisa Cook, a Federal Reserve governor, "effective immediately." It's his most direct assault yet on Fed independence -- and a step that it is far from clear he can legally take.
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    Five are European. The other is England.
    Six teams left in the World Cup. All of them are European.
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    Unnamed @FiveThirtyEight staffer upon returning from a two-week overseas vacation: "quick question, who is Anthony Scaramucci?"
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    So voters want a higher minimum wage, legal pot, abortion access and GOP representation. Ok then.
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    This isn't remotely how Venn diagrams work.
    Dear Congress, Let's get this done. Thanks, The vast majority of Americans
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    An important reminder about today's jobless claims figures: As bad as they will be (and they will be catastrophically bad), they will NOT reflect the full scope of the problem. The true number of lost jobs is significantly higher. Three main reasons (thread):
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    So @jimtankersley talked to Kevin Hassett about the whole "cubic model" mess, and long story short, I'm pretty sure Hassett owes @NateSilver538 $538. nytimes.com/2020/05/06/bus…
    I would bet $538 that the White House's "cubic model" is literally just an MS-EXCEL trendline with a third-degree (cubic) polynomial.
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    Democrats want to tax the rich. Voters -- including a significant number of Republicans -- are largely cheering them on. With @jimtankersley Data from @SurveyMonkey nytimes.com/2019/02/19/bus…
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    CBO is out with its final cost estimate of the tax-and-spending bill passed by the House. - Revenue ⬇️ by $3.7 trillion over 10 years - Spending ⬇️ by $1.3 trillion - Debt ⬆️ by $2.4 trillion over 10 years - Uninsured pop. ⬆️ by 10.9 million in 2034 Full analysis:
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    R U S S Infrastructure week A N H O O K E R S
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    One of my goals this year was to be more aware of the diversity (or lack thereof) of my source list. To that end, I've been tracking (as best I can) the gender and race of everyone I quote in my stories. In the interest of accountability, some stats:
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    "We aren't rich! Look how little we have left over after we spend all our money on rich-people stuff."
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    “You’re not under any obligation to wait for us.” @NateSilver538, live on air, telling us he’s seen enough.
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    “Will you hike if yields rise?” “We will not hike if yields rise. We will not catch you by surprise. We will not hike on Phillips Curve. We will not hike if prices swerve. Not when inflation gets to 2, Not when U3 hits NAIRU. Do not ask me any more! Full employment, not before!”