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Ben Moll
@ben_moll
Sir John Hicks Professor of Economics, @LSEecon. Macroeconomics with distribution(s). Coeditor of the American Economic Review.
Joined January 2019
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    For those interested, here are my slides from yesterday's Cowles Lecture at the Econometric Society Meetings @YaleCowles @econometricsoc benjaminmoll.com/cowles_lecture/ Thanks so much for listening and for the great discussion and comments!
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    I taught a new undergraduate macroeconomics course @LSEEcon. Goals: 1. *Modern* macro = microfoundations rather than IS-LM 2. Simple enough that undergrads get it 3. But still end up somewhere reasonably close to research frontier All materials here benjaminmoll.com/lectures/
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    Thread: a collection of concrete cases of substitution & demand reduction in the energy crisis. Economic theory predicts that, as prices rise, households & firms reduce demand and substitute. We're starting to see more and more such cases I'll collect these here as we go along.
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    Just released: new study showing 1. The German economy coped well with end of Russian gas supplies even avoiding recession 2. Germany would have also withstood an earlier 1 April 2022 import stop Joint with @MSchularick @GeorgZachmann @ECON_tribute econtribute.de/RePEc/ajk/ajkp…
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    We put together a team of macro-, micro- and energy economists to think about the question: what would be the effects on the German economy of a stop of energy imports from Russia? In short: moderate, especially in combination with the right policy response. 1/
    "What are the macroeconomic & distributional consequences for Germany of a stop of Russian energy imports?" Our @ECONtribute policy brief provides an answer @BachmannRudi @DBaqaee @christianbaye13 @kuhnmo @andreasloeschel @ben_moll @APeichl #KarenPittel @MSchularick
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    First forecast for 🇩🇪 economy after Nordstream 1 shutdown. GDP growth predicted by @kielinstitute: - 2022: +1.4% - 2023: -0.7% - 2024: +1.7% "Largest economic crisis since the end of WWII" with "millions of lost jobs" here we come! *Brudermüller/Scholz ifw-kiel.de/publications/m…
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    Here is my little Bob Lucas anecdote. It's about Bob's incredible gift as a writer and his generosity toward his students. It's the fall of 2009 and I'm a grad student at the University of Chicago. Bob is on my thesis committee.
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    An embarrassment for the entire economics profession.
    US economist Jeffrey Sachs was back on Solovyov Live this morning
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    Please endorse this proposal by some outstanding French economists for an EU-wide: 1. complete oil import stop 2. tax on Russian gas 3. together with a cushion for low-income people stopfinancingwar.com Also non-economists can endorse. Information how to on website.
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    How should we tax capital gains due to rising asset prices? On realization? On accrual? Or should we perhaps tax wealth? The existing public finance literature has a big hole making it unsuitable for thinking about these issues: it doesn't model asset prices! 🧵 on a new paper:
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    Over the last decades, many asset valuations have gone through the roof. This had large effects on the distribution of wealth. But what does it mean for welfare? Was this a huge shift of resources toward the wealthy? Or just welfare-irrelevant "paper gains"? 🧵 on a new paper:
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    Deutschland's Presse in England heute morgen. Übrigens nicht die Regenbogenpresse sondern die altehrwürdig @thetimes.
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    Do wealthier households save a larger share of their incomes than poorer ones? I suspect most people's prior is that the answer is "yes." Turns out that's incorrect, or rather: things are considerably more subtle, at least in our Norwegian wealth tax registry data. A short 🧵: