Building on some #dataviz ideas I've been kicking around the last few weeks, I pulled a few elements together into an overall game possession and drive summary visualization template: bcftoys.com/whiteboard/pos…#CFP#Indiana#Miami
FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 4 results: bcftoys.com/2025-fei
Preseason projections carry 67% weight for teams that have played only two FBS opponents, 54% for teams that have played three, 43% for teams that have played four.
Tulsa is wild. Since 2007 in all FBS games almost 68,000 touchdowns have been scored, and there have been only 91 instances of a point after or two point conversion attempt being returned for a two point defensive score. Tulsa was involved in NINE of them.
Wins above what an average FBS team would expect to have against the schedule faced through Week 8, per FEI:
+4.6 Texas A&M
+4.1 Ohio State
+3.9 Alabama
+3.7 Georgia
+3.6 Indiana
+3.3 Ole Miss
+3.3 Notre Dame
+3.3 BYU
+3.2 Georgia Tech
+3.1 Miami
FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 8 results: bcftoys.com/2025-fei
Preseason projections carry 33% weight for teams that have played five FBS opponents, 25% if they have played six, 18% if they have played seven.
Five toughest schedules played to date per FEI:
1. Texas A&M
2. Tennessee
3. Vanderbilt
4. BYU
5. Arizona St
Five toughest schedules remaining per FEI:
1. Michigan
2. Georgia
3. Rutgers
4. Maryland
5. Purdue
Total point differential in games vs current CFP top 25 teams:
+75 Notre Dame
+29 Georgia, Clemson
+27 UCF, Auburn
+22 Penn St
+18 Oklahoma, Miami, Iowa
+14 Alabama
+11 Iowa St
+9 Wisconsin
+7 Arizona
+6 TCU
+3 Washington St, Troy
Auburn played four games against FEI top-5 opponents and went 2-2. Tigers had No.1 SOS.
Alabama played one game vs top-5 opponent and went 0-1. Alabama had No.60 SOS.
We debate conferences often, but conferences themselves can have major imbalances within conf and division.
Will post full FEI ratings (with no preseason projection weights) at Football Outsiders this week, but here’s the top 5 post bowls:
1. Alabama
2. BYU
3. Ohio State
4. Clemson
5. Oklahoma
There were only 14 possessions in yesterday's Georgia Tech vs Florida State game (seven for each team), fewer than in any FBS game played since November 28, 2020.
Wins above what an average FBS team would expect to have against the schedule faced through Week 9, per FEI:
+5.5 Texas A&M
+4.8 Alabama
+4.3 Ole Miss
+4.2 Indiana
+4.1 BYU
+4.0 Ohio State
+3.7 Georgia
+3.6 Georgia Tech
+3.3 Miami
+3.3 Notre Dame