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Brian Fremeau
@bcfremeau
College football possession efficiency and data visualization enthusiast
South Bend, IN
Joined July 2009
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    Building on some #dataviz ideas I've been kicking around the last few weeks, I pulled a few elements together into an overall game possession and drive summary visualization template: bcftoys.com/whiteboard/pos… #CFP #Indiana #Miami
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    There have been 23 CFP games played to date. Alabama, Georgia, Clemson, and Ohio State have won 20 of them.
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    If no preseason projection weight was applied: 1. Indiana 2. Florida State 3. Alabama 4. Vanderbilt 5. Miami 6. Texas Tech 7. Notre Dame 8. Old Dominion 9. Oklahoma 10. Mississippi State
    FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 4 results: bcftoys.com/2025-fei Preseason projections carry 67% weight for teams that have played only two FBS opponents, 54% for teams that have played three, 43% for teams that have played four.
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    Tulsa is wild. Since 2007 in all FBS games almost 68,000 touchdowns have been scored, and there have been only 91 instances of a point after or two point conversion attempt being returned for a two point defensive score. Tulsa was involved in NINE of them.
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    Wins above what an average FBS team would expect to have against the schedule faced through Week 8, per FEI: +4.6 Texas A&M +4.1 Ohio State +3.9 Alabama +3.7 Georgia +3.6 Indiana +3.3 Ole Miss +3.3 Notre Dame +3.3 BYU +3.2 Georgia Tech +3.1 Miami
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    If no preseason projection weight was applied... 1. Indiana 2. Oregon 3. Ohio State 4. Notre Dame 5. Alabama 6. Georgia 7. Miami 8. Texas Tech 9. Utah 10. Texas A&M
    FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 8 results: bcftoys.com/2025-fei Preseason projections carry 33% weight for teams that have played five FBS opponents, 25% if they have played six, 18% if they have played seven.
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    Five toughest schedules played to date per FEI: 1. Texas A&M 2. Tennessee 3. Vanderbilt 4. BYU 5. Arizona St Five toughest schedules remaining per FEI: 1. Michigan 2. Georgia 3. Rutgers 4. Maryland 5. Purdue
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    Total point differential in games vs current CFP top 25 teams: +75 Notre Dame +29 Georgia, Clemson +27 UCF, Auburn +22 Penn St +18 Oklahoma, Miami, Iowa +14 Alabama +11 Iowa St +9 Wisconsin +7 Arizona +6 TCU +3 Washington St, Troy
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    I know there’s a lot going on right now, but I just realized Bowling Green punted from the opponent 30-yard line on Friday.
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    Auburn played four games against FEI top-5 opponents and went 2-2. Tigers had No.1 SOS. Alabama played one game vs top-5 opponent and went 0-1. Alabama had No.60 SOS. We debate conferences often, but conferences themselves can have major imbalances within conf and division.
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    Iowa just had an 11-play drive that didn’t reach midfield. Then they punted and recovered a muffed punt.
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    Will post full FEI ratings (with no preseason projection weights) at Football Outsiders this week, but here’s the top 5 post bowls: 1. Alabama 2. BYU 3. Ohio State 4. Clemson 5. Oklahoma
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    There were only 14 possessions in yesterday's Georgia Tech vs Florida State game (seven for each team), fewer than in any FBS game played since November 28, 2020.
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    Wins above what an average FBS team would expect to have against the schedule faced through Week 9, per FEI: +5.5 Texas A&M +4.8 Alabama +4.3 Ole Miss +4.2 Indiana +4.1 BYU +4.0 Ohio State +3.7 Georgia +3.6 Georgia Tech +3.3 Miami +3.3 Notre Dame