This from @asteriskmgzn is one of the best examples of adversarial collaborative dialogue I've seen. @ajeya_cotra and @binarybits map out why they disagree about AI timelines and what would be the early warning signs that each is wrong.
Asterisk
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Asterisk
@asteriskmgzn
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Joined November 2022
- How long will it be until AI systems can sustain their own existence – with factories, robots, and power plants? METR's @ajeya_cotra thinks it's likely within 10 years. She believes that cognitive capabilities are the main bottleneck, and that AI is closing that gap fast.
- Asterisk repostedMAHA is a horseshoe. "When I see people buying exotic peptides from uncredentialed sources, I don’t see daredevils or lunatics abandoning a system that works. I see people with problems the system isn’t solving refusing to give up on themselves."
- Asterisk reposted
Have you considered the risk of not shooting yourself up with gray market peptides?Gray market peptide use is often thought of as reckless, but for some users, it can be empowering. When facing health issues that doctors couldn’t address or insurance wouldn’t cover, experimenting on themselves seems less risky than not trying to solve these problems at all. In - Gray market peptide use is often thought of as reckless, but for some users, it can be empowering. When facing health issues that doctors couldn’t address or insurance wouldn’t cover, experimenting on themselves seems less risky than not trying to solve these problems at all. In
- Asterisk reposted
Replying to @_torontosocietyThank you to our incredible sponsors and book fair partners: @NotionHQ, @cursor_ai, @ambitionlabsinc, @colossusmag, @AmbrookAg, Orbital Studies, @asteriskmgzn, @BenMcNallyBooks, and @stripepress this event could not have been what it was without them.
- Asterisk reposted
Could not possibly love this by @LeahLibresco more. Fantasy AND global markets?? This is the perfect example essay.
- Asterisk repostedReplying to @LeahLibrescoThe essay on fiction and financialization I've been dying to write "While Tolkien and Lewis created their otherworlds under the shadow of their service in World War I, [Max] Gladstone’s books are his attempt to make sense of the global financial crisis"
- Asterisk reposted"Everything has a price. It’s a warning you might receive from a hedge fund trader, along with your 'welcome to the firm' fleece vest. Or you might hear it from a skeleton, with flaming eyes, holding you by the cloak and ready to drop you into a pit...
- Asterisk repostedDelighted to write about @maxgladstone’s Craft Sequence and the financial fictions we agree to believe together.Tolkien and Lewis created their fantasy worlds in the shadow of WWI. Max Gladstone did the same for the 2008 financial crisis. His Craft Sequence fantasy series examines how value can disappear instantly, leaving no physical mark on the world. In our latest piece, @LeahLibresco
