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Alexandra Prokopenko
@amenka
Researcher on political economy of 🇷🇺 Former advisor at @bank_of_russia My weekly newsletter eepurl.com/c82pxr
Posts
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    My forthcoming book From Sovereigns to Servants: How the War against Ukraine Reshaped Russia’s Elite is now officially with @HurstPublishers. It’s about loyalty and survival at the top of Putin’s system. How and why Russian elites adapted to the war 🔗
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    24 февраля в Кремле будут давать Лебединое озеро. нет, это не шутка и не фотошоп.
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    Behind Russia GDP’s 3.5% expansion in 2023 are uncontrolled growth of expenditures, high inflation, distortions in the labor market. Problems will only multiply in the future, as I argue in a @ForeignAffairs piece. THREAD 1/
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    Это руковолитель #ВЦИОМ Валерий Федоров,который «чувствует мотивацию» в связи с мобилизацией.Спросила его готов ли он мобилизоваться и защитить родину?А он реально позвонил моему бывшему работодателю и хотел просить со мной разобраться.Такие вот диванные войска!That’s all folks!!
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    как выглядит референдум по поправкам в Конституцию здорового человека: - запрет родственникам президента занимать госдолжности - запрет смертной казни - убрать упоминания о первом президенте - перераспределить власть в пользу парламентов - недра народу Welcome to Kazakhstan
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    Wishful thinking that economic collapse or political instability will end the war is dangerous. A sustainable strategy requires recognizing Russia's resilience & preparing for a long-term effort to support Ukraine, I argue in a recent @ForeignAffairs piece
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    Interesting clues on how Italian exporters circumvent #sanctions against #Russia with help from #Turkey. In June, exports from 🇮🇹 to 🇹🇷 increased by 87% up to 1,4bln euro just for one month (500 mln increase average lvl). Same time, exports from 🇹🇷 to🇷🇺 raised on the same sum
    Are Italian companies massively bypassing #sanctions against #Russia? The mysterious booming of Italian exports to #Turkey, in parallel with the equally mysterious booming of Turkish exports to Russia, does suggest that something is up @corriere #data corriere.it/esteri/22_lugl…
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    1/ Russia's wartime budget (source: leak to @business ) key takeaways: - Putin prepares for the long war - Guns above the butter (military spending exceeds social) - all the cows that can still give milk in Russia's economy will be milked to death (more in 🧵👇)
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    “Russia’s economy is entering a long-term regression,” and I'm still on that despite recent optimistic statistics. Military production simply masks the problems. “This isn’t real, productive growth..." excellent job @georgikantchev & @evangershkovich
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    Russia’s war economy looks strong — but it’s built on sand. It functions like a disposable-goods system: factories produce weapons to be destroyed, creating activity but no lasting value. Each year of war leaves Russia busier — and poorer, as I argue 👇 🔗
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    Economist Andrey Belousov appointed on a MoD. What does it say? A quick🧵 - Putin's priority is war; war of attrition is won by economics. Belousov is in favor of stimulating demand from the budget, which means that military spending will at least not decrease but rather increase
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    Nearly 90 percent of potato seeds in #Russia, for example, are imported, along with about 70 percent of rape seeds, and from 30 to 90 percent of fruit and berry crop seeds. Russia is self-sufficient only in wheat.
    No need for sanctions...Russian authorities can strangle their farmers themselves Reuters - Russia's agriculture ministry has proposed that the government limits seed imports by setting up quotas, aiming to stimulate domestic production #corn #wheat #oatt
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    #Russian #oil & #gas revenues collapsed in July, according to @ru_minfin failing of #gas income is especially impressive, because of the energy war with the #EU. Export duty fell 1/3: -32.9% YoY (64.9% YoY in June). We will see the reverse in o&g revenues during next month.
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    Russia's economy, fueled by the ongoing war with Ukraine, shows surprising stability amidst sanctions. However, this stability is precarious and not everlasting. In my newest paper for @CarnegieEndow, I explore the resilience and risks of Russia's economy