Andrew Small (@ajwsmall) / X

Andrew Small

9,426 posts

Andrew Small

@ajwsmall

Asia Director @ECFR / previously @EU_Commission @gmfus / China, Europe-US, Indo-Pacific

Berlin, Germany

Joined February 2008

Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
Sep 17, 2021
It was hard this week not to think back to the CAI drama in December, when Germany/France jammed the agreement through in the window before the Biden administration took office, taking advantage of Xi's interest in pre-emptively spiking US coalition-building on China 1/
Jake Sullivan
@jakejsullivan
Dec 22, 2020
The Biden-Harris administration would welcome early consultations with our European partners on our common concerns about China's economic practices.
Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
Jun 16, 2020
"Sino-Indian relations can never go back to the old normal"
Carnegie Endowment
@CarnegieEndow
Jun 16, 2020
What does the clash at the China-India border mean for the countries' plans to disengage? How could the conflict impact the future of Chinese-Indian relations? Ashley J. Tellis explains:
00:00
Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
Oct 5, 2022
Chinese officials in meetings with EU counterparts "made clear that the use of nuclear weapons by Russia would be viewed as totally unacceptable in Beijing". From the latest @noahbarkin newsletter (always a must-read but this one is a must-must-read...) email.gmfus.org/rv/ff009a5b4b9…
Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
May 7, 2025
A few quick thoughts on how China is likely to deal with the current situation in South Asia (since I am getting some questions along the lines of: "is the Chinese approach still the same as the one laid out in your book?" which is now more than ten years old...) 1/10
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Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
May 26, 2020
UK threatened with "retaliatory responses" from Beijing if Huawei is excluded, Chinese government views it as "a test stone of bilateral ties". China Daily editorial: chinadaily.com.cn/a/202005/24/WS…
Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
Feb 16, 2018
My piece in @ForeignAffairs on China, India, and the pushback against the Belt and Road in South Asia:
The Backlash to Belt and Road
From foreignaffairs.com
Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
Apr 3, 2019
This is the best article out there on the current state of play with CPEC - and I hope part of moving people away from talking about it being a "$62bn initiative". The real numbers in play now are still significant but much less than that:
China’s Belt-and-Road Initiative Puts a Squeeze on Pakistan
From wsj.com
Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
Nov 4, 2022
As soon as that Zhou Bo op-ed appeared - ft.com/content/f05fef… - I suspected that China had now figured out how to use the Russian threats of nuclear weapons use to its advantage, and Xi’s statement today exemplifies this 1/12
China can use its leverage with Russia to prevent a nuclear war
From ft.com
Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
Sep 15, 2023
Personal news: I'm excited to start a secondment to the European Commission next week! I'll be taking up a fellowship at IDEA, the advisory hub that reports to the President of the European Commission, as part of a new program to tap external expertise on China-related issues 1/2
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Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
Mar 7, 2022
The fact that China clearly supports Russia would not preclude them taking a mediation role. Beijing typically does this precisely when it’s sympathetic to one side but thinks they’ve gone too far. But there are other reasons I doubt this will happen 1/
Reinhard Bütikofer
@bueti
Mar 6, 2022
It is highly questionable, indeed, how China could be mediating in a conflict in which they have taken a principal stance on the aggressor's side. Not a very good idea, @JosepBorrellF.
Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
Aug 15, 2021
I can't post the full chapter from the book but a few disconnected snippets in this thread below capture the early China-Taliban interactions when they were last in power, and I hope provide some helpful context. Some of the central issues have not changed since. 1/4
Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
Mar 7, 2022
Replying to @ajwsmall
Xi has made his bet - that given China’s strategic landscape, there is a price worth paying for the Sino-Russian partnership. No amount of articles on what various sections of the Chinese ”foreign policy community” think or what we think China’s “real” interests are obviate that
Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
Jan 5, 2018
In light of US cutting off funds to Pakistan, the argument in this piece on China’s reaction still applies – Beijing will be more supportive than in the past, but contrary to some recent commentary, it will NOT be happy. Why? : scmp.com/week-asia/geop… 1/9
Andrew Small
@ajwsmall
Aug 15, 2021
Whatever schadenfreude China may be experiencing around the way the withdrawal from Afghanistan has been handled by the US, this is not the outcome that China wanted. I give context here: china-global.simplecast.com/episodes/episo… and here: ecfr.eu/article/after-… 1/5