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Richard Black
@_richardblack
Head of Communications @CA_Latest. Hon Fellow @ImperialCollege, ex @eciu_uk & @ember_energy, ex sci & envt journo @bbcnews. Climate & energy, poss sport & music
Berlin
Joined December 2009
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    THREAD: Delighted, having penned the first sentence well over a year ago, that my book on the future of energy penguinrandomhouse.com/books/761643/t… – appropriately enough, titled The Future of Energy – is coming out in exactly a week’s time
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    THREAD: Something curious turns up in the gas statistics released this morning by government
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    Replying to @_richardblack
    So, argue for continuing UK oil and gas production on the basis of jobs, balance of payments or whatever argument you want, but... please let's not have any more of this 'increasing UK production is essential at a time of crisis'. Because the export figures tell a different story
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    Replying to @_richardblack
    ...the stats show that the UK has been exporting unusually large amounts of gas. Yes, you read that right - exporting
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    Replying to @_richardblack
    In reality there is no 'our gas'. It is extracted from rock in British territory: but the companies don't have to be British, nor the investors, nor the supply chain. It's not directed by the British government or used by the British people. It's 'the company's gas', not 'ours'
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    Replying to @_richardblack
    This is utterly normal corporate behaviour, and completely to be expected. But it sure knocks a massive hole in the argument that Britain needs 'its own' gas production for energy security
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    Replying to @_richardblack
    So why, at a time when Britain is apparently crying out for gas, is this happening? Well... for the fairly obvious reason that the gas doesn't belong to the British public or the British government, but to whichever company gets it out of the ground
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    Look at this: only six years ago, 1 in 100 cars bought in the UK was electric. Now it's 1 in 3. The power of exponential growth carbontracker.org/one-in-three-u… @newautomotive1 @CarbonBubble
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    Replying to @_richardblack
    Fracking wouldn't change this. Nor would increasing North Sea production, were that even feasible. Unless you want to argue for state ownership of the gas produced, it will always get sold where the profit margin is biggest...
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    Replying to @_richardblack
    The UK energy statistics tables gov.uk/government/sta… show that in the last three months for which data is available (Sept-Nov) – a period after the current 'crisis' entered full swing – the UK exported 31,975 GWh of gas
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    Replying to @_richardblack
    And as any company would, they're selling it for the best price they can get. Which happens to be, for large volumes of it, by sending it through the pipeline into Belgium and the Netherlands
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    Replying to @_richardblack
    The figure for the same three months of 2020 was 15,830 – about half as much. OK, you may say, but that was in Covid times so maybe that's the anomaly... except that the 2019 figure was 19,633; and for 2018, 16,439. This winter is the clear outlier
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    Replying to @_richardblack
    ...and energy security will always depend on UK companies (not the government) paying the market price
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    Replying to @_richardblack
    Curious because at a time of eye-wateringly high gas prices, with Vladimir Putin at the Ukraine's door, with warnings of dire outcomes everywhere and the oil industry telling us that continuing UK oil and gas extraction is necessary for energy security ogauthority.co.uk/news-publicati…