The best price change predictor of August is... @LiveFPLnet !
Winning both the rises and falls category. Rise predictions have been especially good thus far!
What The FPL
118 posts
What The FPL
@WhatTheF__PL
Tracking FPL price change predictors
& Predicting FPL player points and best team selection. Find out more at:
whatthef.pl
Joined December 2024
- 📅 December 7th, 2024 Big win for @LiveFPLnet: 🔸The only one predicting TAA to rise, other predictors weren't close — most having him at negative even. 🔸10/11 falls predicted, at least 2 more than other predictors. 🔸False positive rate in line with others.
- Introducing the What The FPL Leaderboard! Check which price change predictor is best at a glance: 🔹 Updates daily 🔹 Shows which predictor is best for rises, and which is best for falls 🔹 Shows who's best over the season/last week Check it out here: whatthef.pl
- The best price change predictor of February is... @LiveFPLnet and @fpl_statistics with one 1st and 2nd place each. Performance is still way down from December and January. Let's see if the predictors can pick it back up in March.
- UPDATE — here's who are the best defenders to pick in FPL if you take into account Defensive Contributions, by looking at POINTS PER GAME. Takeaways: - Tarkowski in the Top 3 - Chalobah best in 5.0 category, though mainly due to his time at Palace - Gabriel next to Virg/Gvardiol
- 📅 December 5th, 2024 First day in the last 6 days with fewer than 10 price changes. 🔸 Cunha predicted to rise by 3 predictors yet didn't 🔸 Son predicted to fall by 3 predictors yet didn't Overall winner of the day is probably @LiveFPLnet
- Here's how Defensive Contributions (DC) impacts defenders. Below graph shows total points each defender would have gotten last season INCLUDING DC, compared to their price this season.
- Next up — Non-premium Midfielders. Below graph shows total points each player would have gotten last season INCLUDING DC, compared to their price this season. Main takeaway: some really interesting budget options: - At 5.0: Baleba/Cook/Christie - At 5.5: Anderson/Caicedo
- And here's who the best MIDFIELDERS to pick are if you take into account Defensive Contributions, by looking at POINTS PER GAME. Takeaways: - Diallo?? - Anderson still a great shout at 5.5 - McNeil might be a decent shout if he starts frequently. - Bruno a beast in DC (11x)
- LiveFPL adjusted their algorithm to catch more falls — but at the expense of 9 false positives. FantasyFootballHub not off to a great start so far.
- The best price change predictor of January is... @FFH_HQ! Topping the monthly leaderboard for both rises and falls! Fair game to them, they've really improved their algorithm since I started tracking back in early December, when they were still last for rises and 3rd for falls.
- The best FPL price change predictor of the SEASON is... 🥇@fpl_statistics — Best for falls, 2nd for rises! 🥈 @LiveFPLnet — amazing start to the season, but accuracy dropped off the last months 🥉 @FFH_HQ — the most improved. Rough start but among the best in the last months.
- The best price change predictor of December is... @LiveFPLnet! Both the best predictor for rises and falls in December, by quite a margin. For price rises, the other 3 are pretty close. For price falls, I would avoid FantasyFootballFix.
- I was made aware that due to a bug, some of the price change prediction results for @fpl_statistics and @LiveFPLnet were incorrect. Luckily I had all data to retroactively fix the issue. The correct results are now live on the website. Both sites now have slightly better stats.