How to trade a bull market
Risk On/Off
Traders tend to get lost in their fomo thinking they must be max exposure all the time
Risk is how you grow and risk off is how you keep
How do I define Risk On/Off?
Some version of the following...
Risk On: Spot BTC, Spot Alts, Deriv.
Momentum Loss Pattern
The pattern we see that forms directional shift in price
Never buy on the first drive down unless upside momentum is extremely high
Wait for downside momentum to be lost, then buy
Simple breakdown:
1. Momentum to the downside
2. Passive bid starts soaking
Vwap Thread
So what is Vwap? Volume Weighted Average Price
VWAP = Cumulative Price x Volume/Cumulative Volume
A simple indicator but when properly understood became the most valuable part of my system
BTC Outlook
Macro: Strong up trend
Medium Term: Consolidation
Short Term: Waiting for spot seller exhaustion to long for trend continuation
Vwap:
Strong uptrend respecting two year+ anchored vwap. Trends require consolidation before they can continue
TPO:
Consolidation between
Open Interest Thread
Open Interest(OI)
What is OI?
Open Interest tells us how much open value exists on a given contract
Meaning when OI is $1 billion, there are equally $1 billion longs & shorts open
BTC Outlook
STOP WHAT YOU ARE DOING AND PRESS LIKE OR U GAY
Macro: Strong up trend
Medium Term: Building value between prev. two macro values
Short Term: Watching for bulls to fail back into range
News: Tarif news is old, need new fud
Macro: Fuck you higher in 2025
Macro
Open Interest(OI) Thread:
What is OI?
It tells us how much open value there is on a given contract.
Meaning when OI is 1billion $ on contract btcperpxyz, there is 1 billion dollar worth of longs and shorts open.