Lots of analytical draft analysis comes with a lot of uncertainty due to small sample sizes and the league changing over time.
Hence I thought of a method to compute the value of draft picks intrinsically. Here it is:
When Taylor Heinicke's career is over, he can just start a yearly column in which he predicts which QBs get benched in the coming season. Because he predicts it correctly every single offseason
If you think about it Eli Manning was worse at every single on-field trait, but he was a better QB than Justin Herbert because he refused to play for the Chargers.
Justin Fields has
- fewer rush TDs than Jamaal Williams
- lower yds per attempt than Zach Wilson
- fewer pass TDs than Jared Goff
- lower passer rating than Andy Dalton
(sorry I'm legally obliged to play this game whenever I see it)
Justin Fields has:
▪︎ More rush TD than Christian McCaffrey
▪︎ More rush yds than Dalvin Cook
▪︎ As many pass TD as Tom Brady
▪︎ Higher pass rating than Dak Prescott
Redefining DUAL-THREAT #DaBears
If the Bears choose between Caleb Williams and Drake Maye..
Williams: Concerns are in-pocket/in structure. Exactly what Fields struggles with in the NFL. Bears might get PTSD.
Maye: No concerns, but North Carolina. Exactly where Mitch Trubisky played. Bears might get PTSD.