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Shaidy Advice
413 posts
Shaidy Advice
@ShaidyAdvice
Gamer, nerd, DFS and best ball player.
shaidyadvice.com
Joined September 2012
- I’m not normally a screenshot person but your first solo million is a special occasion. Thank you to @SaberSim for the tools and community and a special shoutout to @whistlesWooo for getting me into this hobby.
- Got to check “Win a DFS live final” off of my bucket list this weekend in Chicago. Thank you to all of you who congratulated me and as always to @SaberSim and the great team working on their DFS product.
- Whether or not you agree with the ghost change to forcing autopilot in fast best ball drafts that @UnderdogFantasy made last night, it's not okay for them to be gaslighting users who report a change to the product. Email and chat just repeatedly insist that there was no change.
- I was working on a graphic yesterday to try and show a more realistic perspective of what DFS is like most slates. I'm still going to post that but first I'll make the discourse worse. 100k NBA tier win for the @SaberSim Winner's Circle: draftkings.com/contest/gamece…
- If @draftkings is really making this change to the crown accrual bonus to give users choice rather than save costs when users forget or claim sub-optimally, than they would automatically apply any unclaimed days at the end of the month to the days with the highest crown accrual.
- Replying to @ShaidyAdviceI am very much of the opinion that making this kind of unannounced change 24-36 hours before your flagship contest closes is extremely irresponsible. Digging your heels in like this is insane...
- It's been a slow bleed the last several weeks but patience pays off with this season's 10k NBA tier win for the @SaberSim Winners circle. Oh and two in one night in different slates😉. 100k here we come? draftkings.com/contest/gamece… draftkings.com/contest/gamece…
- If paywalled publicly available post-lock contest sims can’t kill the player ownership takes we are a long way from worrying about pre-lock sims killing DFS.
- As I mentioned, I think the focus on winning DFS screenshots is unhealthy. Being a successful DFS player is much more about surviving loses than it is sweating big wins. This is a histogram of my ROI in each slate since Sep '21 (lots of red).
- Oh look, DK has started pushing their unplayable payout structures from the low stakes into mid stakes. Fun!
- So, last night I luckboxed into 12 tickets for the Mega Milli on DK tonight (sorry if you were in those Sats). I'll be in for 14 bullets instead of the 3 I had planned and if I have the energy I'll try and stream some of the sweat. GLHF!
- Replying to @Sherman_FFBThe field of Bayesian statistics might like to have a word with you for suggesting it’s an art not a science. The bottom line is that if you aren’t making predictions in a way that you can measure their calibration you’re just guessing, not making predictions.