Anyone who doesn’t think the other 46 people said chicken is fooling themselves. Popeye the sailor man hasn’t been culturally relevant in what, 30 years?
MODELING TIP:
Say you have a hypothesis about a certain variable(s) being predictive. Example: temperature on NFL totals.
Your first step should not be to build a sophisticated XGBoost model or even a linear regression. It should be a pivot table with game-by-game temperature
NEW ARTICLES:
5 part series that goes through my process for building Bayesian models in @msexcel.
Start here:
Building a Bayesian Model: Part 1 – Plus EV Analytics
You can’t say “we ban winners because we cater to recreational bettors” and then come out with ads that basically say “if you know sports you’ll win money”. It doesn’t get much more dishonest than that.