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Matti Pesu
@PesuMatti
PhD. Senior Research Fellow, @FIIA_fi, Finnish, Northern European & Euro-Atlantic security. ♠️
Helsinki, Finland
fiia.fi/en/expert/matt…
Joined July 2011
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Mar 5, 2024
    I am very excited to share Tuomas Iso-Markku's and my new article in @IAJournal_CH explaining why Finland chose to join NATO. Two factors were decisive: 1) A dramatic shift in public opinion; 2) Perception of a deterrence deficit by policymakers.
    Issue Cover
    Insufficiency of informal alignment: why did Finland choose formal NATO membership?
    From academic.oup.com
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    May 11, 2022
    Niinistö’s message to Moscow on the eve of Finland’s NATO announcement: ”You caused this. Look at the mirror.” A historic statement that speaks volumes about the current state of Finnish-Russia ties.
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Oct 11, 2023
    1. The sabotage of #BalticConnector and the telcom cable connecting Finland and Estonia must be placed in a broader context. A thread from a Finnish perspective:
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Apr 4, 2023
    Finland joins NATO today. What will change? I’ll list 4 key transformations in this small thread. 1. Finland becomes a genuine collective defence actor. It must learn to view its efforts and objectives in terms of the Alliance’s collective needs as well.
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Apr 3, 2023
    Now it is official. Finland will become a NATO member tomorrow. President Niinistö will also travel to Brussels. presidentti.fi/en/press-relea…
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Apr 14, 2022
    1. In all likelihood, 🇫🇮 will apply for NATO membership within weeks. This has caught analysts - also yours truly - by surprise. How did 🇫🇮 end up here? I will offer a long view and walk you through some key periods and developments of Finland's history with NATO.
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Jun 17, 2023
    American strategic bombers flying in Finnish airspace for the very first time. Yet another sign of a new era in Finnish security.
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    Antti Koskela
    @koskela_antti
    Jun 17, 2023
    B-1 ylilento. #Bone #Flypast #TurkuAirShow23
    00:00
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Jun 28, 2022
    Stoltenberg tells that NATO will tomorrow invite Finland and Sweden to become members of the alliance, making them NATO invitees.
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Oct 11, 2023
    Replying to @PesuMatti
    9. One last point: Finnish leaders and experts have already underscored that the acts of sabotage were not a surprise. As recently as late August, President @niinisto reminded Finns that Finland must remain prepared for malign measures from Russia.
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Apr 4, 2023
    Replying to @PesuMatti
    2. Finland will significantly deepen its existing military partnerships (🇸🇪🇳🇴🇺🇸🇬🇧🇪🇪) and this process is already underway. These relationships will be crucial if deterrence fails collective defence ever needs to be implemented.
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Aug 22, 2022
    Haaviston mukaan Suomi liittyy Natoon 5 syystä. 1. 🇷🇺 kasvanut riskinottohalu. 2. 🇷🇺 halukas painostamaan naapureitaan joukkokeskityksin. 3. 🇷🇺 löysä puhe ydin- ja kemiallisista aseista. 4. 🇷🇺 kv. oikeuden vastaiset toimet, erit. sotarikokset. 5. 🇷🇺 etupiirivaatimukset.
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Oct 11, 2023
    Replying to @PesuMatti
    5. Sabotaging critical infrastructure fits in the strategy of intimidation. Russia wants to sow fear among Finnish decisionmakers and the public. The likely aim is to limit allied presence in Finland as well as the depth of its NATO integration.
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Oct 11, 2023
    Replying to @PesuMatti
    2. Contrary to expectations, Russia's immeduate response to 🇫🇮 NATO bid was muted. However, this year, Finland has been subject to harsher treatment. Moscow e.g. took over the Russian assets of Fortum and withdrew its agreement for operation of 🇫🇮 consulate in St. Petersburg.
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    Matti Pesu
    @PesuMatti
    Apr 4, 2023
    Replying to @PesuMatti
    3. Finland’s Russia policy will become increasingly deterrence-based - a deviation from its reassurance-based line. Finland’s Russia policy fits well with the Alliance’s three-pronged approach outlined in the recent Strategic Concept.
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