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Tara Moriarty
@MoriartyLab
🏳️‍🌈🇨🇦Assoc Prof @UofT. Bloodborne infections, Lyme disease, misinfo. @COVID_19_Canada. Defend journalism. Opinions mine. @MoriartyLab.bsky.social
Toronto, Ontario
Joined August 2016
Posts
  • Pinned
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    Please re-share widely to your networks so people have time to move to Bluesky/ask us for help moving.
    I will be leaving Twitter permanently later this week, after today's Canadian COVID Forecast. I'm now on Bluesky. My handle is the same as here. My profile image says "Product of Canada". If you need help moving to Bluesky please reply here, and we'll get you that help.
    GIF
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    Canadians, I think we all need to hear this tonight: If we had not protected ourselves and each other from COVID-19, more than 500,000 of us would have died. WE have collectively saved more than 500,000 lives. WE did this. Not leaders. US. THIS is who we were and still are.
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    And.... The 12-17 year-olds in Canada have now outpaced BOTH the 18-29 and 30-39 year-olds for COVID-19 vaccination. I'm going to bet next week they overtake the 40-49s (their parents). Clearly teens know vaccination means regaining what they've lost, and they are DETERMINED.
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    If you are a not yet vaccinated person 40+ living in Canada You currently have a 1 in 21 chance of being hospitalized when you get COVID, a 1 in 59 chance of ending up in ICU and a 1 in 76 chance of dying. I'm opening my DMs. Your life matters. Please message me if you need to
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    I just received feedback from a student who was relieved when I moved a term test online b/c I and multiple students got COVID. Why? She's a recent solid organ transplant recipient. And there were additional students who tested positive but were going to write in person anyway.
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    My colleagues, the emperor has no clothes. Nearly 30% excess mortality in Canada's fastest reporting provinces as of Dec 31/22 Dec 25/22: Germany 47%, France 31%, UK 25% It almost doesn't matter anymore what you think is the cause...please speak, please act.
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    Canadians, All of us need to help NOW. Each person who avoids getting infected or infecting someone else TODAY prevents more than 100 people getting infected in the next 3 weeks. Preventing 100 infections prevents 1 hospitalization. Whenever you have a choice, think of this.
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    Replying to @MoriartyLab
    Finally, if you got this far, please be aware that @WHO just changed masking recommendations. They used to recommend masking based on epidemiological situation, but b/c cases are consistently high, masks are now universally recommended in enclosed spaces.
    Today WHO has published updated #COVID19 guidelines on: 🔹 mask wearing in community settings 🔹 treatments 🔹 clinical management Find out more: 📌 bit.ly/3GZvcLB
    Two men are sitting down at a table and talking to each other. Both are wearing a face mask.
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    I think it might if people understood just how helpful masking can be for liberating hospital beds in Canada and preventing COVID deaths. If 80% of us mask (as we did this time last year) by Feb 3 we could liberate 54,000 hospital beds and prevent 4,000 deaths 🧵
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    My mom in a care home will be among the first to receive C19 vaccine in ON. I will be too, as her essential caregiver. I know the Pfizer & Moderna vaccines are safe. A month after we're vaccinated, I'll be able to hold her when she cries, sleep over, be the daughter she needs.
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    Canadians, when are we going to do something about COVID? The gray bars in this chart are % excess mortality from Jan 25/20-Dec 31/22 in Canada's fastest reporting provinces: NL, QC, AB, BC. Dec 31/22 excess mortality is at the peak of the 1st wave of 2020. This is grotesque.
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    Increasingly looking like Ontario (and likely rest of Canada) is heading into new wave, as expected (booster waning). BA.2 share of sequences across Canada also fairly substantial now. It's imperative that leaders communicate the importance of masking and 3rd doses NOW.
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    Canadian COVID Forecast: Aug 12-25, 2023 SEVERE: AB, BC VERY HIGH: CAN,MB, NB, NL, ON, SK HIGH: North, NS, PEI, QC ELEVATED: none MODERATE: none LOW: none About 1 in 46 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected. A new surge/wave has started in most provinces. /1
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    The 1st version of this study ended with Delta. This includes Omicron. The dataset is massive and results are compelling. Each successive infection increases risk of death and serious complications, in unvaccinated AND vaccinated individuals. Avoid infection/reinfection. Now.
    Covid reinfections are not benign: ~39,000 people w/reinfections vs ~5.4 million controls indicates extensive and persistent risk with a "dose-response" (more risk with repeat reinfections) researchsquare.com/article/rs-174… by @zalaly @BCBowe @Biostayan @WUSTLmed @VAResearch