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Matt Singh
@MattSingh_
Pollster, election analyst, founder @NCPoliticsUK, love sports (volleyball, F1) travel and Alsace Wine. Own views. ✉️ For polling/media enquiries on website
Joined May 2009
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    The strange shape of Liberal England, 2024 edition. Constituencies with more Lib Dem vs more Labour votes (ignoring other parties) are still largely divided by Watling Street (modern day A2/A5), a Roman road built almost 2000 years ago that divided Wessex and the Danelaw in 886AD
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    Hidden message within the Queen's message...
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    Unpopular view but the Truss lectern looked great
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    Update: The Conservatives lost every seat in the Corn Wall
    Hey everyone, I've identified a group of seats in the far South West, all currently Conservative-held but with very interesting and unique characteristics, and some especially interesting residuals in my regression model. I propose to call it the Corn Wall.
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    Hey everyone, I've identified a group of seats in the far South West, all currently Conservative-held but with very interesting and unique characteristics, and some especially interesting residuals in my regression model. I propose to call it the Corn Wall.
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    Londoners have been taking this precaution since 1863
    Don't talk on the subway, say French doctors, to limit COVID-19 spread reut.rs/2LOIGjD
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    Vice President, Indian!
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    Replying to @MattSingh_
    Labour lost its deposit in Tiverton and won Wakefield on a decent swing. Lib Dems lost their deposit in Wakefield and won on a huge swing in Tiverton. This is industrial scale tactical voting, and it's a big deal...
    Replying to @MattSingh_
    Watch how Labour does in Tiverton and how LDs do in Wakefield. By-elections, because of the intensity of the campaigning, tend to see a lot of tactical voting, but if they really crash, that implies tactical voting on steroids and worth keeping and eye on x.com/marklobel/stat…
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    I'm going to start using "herd impunity" to describe a situation where people feel safe breaking a rule because everyone's doing it
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    Final scores: Biden 81,282,376 Trump 74,222,576 Or as percentage shares of the two-party vote.... 52-48
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    Ok I’ve found it. The stupidest election take in the history of stupidity
    Corbyn won 464 seats while he leader, Starmer is only going to get 400 odd
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    I was told communism is bad by people who needed a 4 metre high wall to stop them escaping from it
    you were told communism is bad by people who said slavery was good
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    Dumfries and Galloway both had a bad week
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